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Atlantic 10

Updated with games through Monday, March 17

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Atlantic 10 Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th
1. VCU (34) 15 - 3 27 - 6 15.0 - 3.0 27.0 - 6.0 100.0
2. George Mason (80) 15 - 3 25 - 8 15.0 - 3.0 25.0 - 8.0 100.0
3. Dayton (76) 12 - 6 21 - 10 12.0 - 6.0 21.0 - 10.0 100.0
4. Loyola Chicago (119) 12 - 6 21 - 11 12.0 - 6.0 21.0 - 11.0 100.0
5. Saint Joseph's (84) 12 - 7 22 - 12 12.0 - 7.0 22.0 - 12.0 100.0
6. Saint Louis (100) 11 - 7 17 - 14 11.0 - 7.0 17.0 - 14.0 100.0
7. George Washington (137) 9 - 9 20 - 12 9.0 - 9.0 20.0 - 12.0 100.0
8. St. Bonaventure (106) 9 - 9 21 - 11 9.0 - 9.0 21.0 - 11.0 100.0
9. Duquesne (145) 8 - 10 12 - 19 8.0 - 10.0 12.0 - 19.0 100.0
10. Rhode Island (144) 7 - 11 17 - 13 7.0 - 11.0 17.0 - 13.0 100.0
11. Massachusetts (215) 7 - 11 11 - 20 7.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 20.0 100.0
12. Davidson (154) 6 - 12 16 - 16 6.0 - 12.0 16.0 - 16.0 100.0
13. Richmond (241) 5 - 13 8 - 22 5.0 - 13.0 8.0 - 22.0 100.0
14. La Salle (229) 5 - 14 13 - 19 5.0 - 14.0 13.0 - 19.0 100.0
15. Fordham (236) 3 - 15 11 - 21 3.0 - 15.0 11.0 - 21.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. VCU (34) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. George Mason (80) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. Dayton (76) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. Loyola Chicago (119) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Saint Joseph's (84) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. Saint Louis (100) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. George Washington (137) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. St. Bonaventure (106) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. Duquesne (145) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. Rhode Island (144) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. Massachusetts (215) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
12. Davidson (154) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
13. Richmond (241) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
14. La Salle (229) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
15. Fordham (236) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th
1. VCU 0.0100.0
2. George Mason 0.0100.0
3. Dayton 0.0100.0
4. Loyola Chicago 0.0100.0
5. Saint Joseph's 0.0100.0
6. Saint Louis 0.0100.0
7. George Washington 0.0100.0
8. St. Bonaventure 0.0100.0
9. Duquesne 0.0100.0
10. Rhode Island 0.0100.0
11. Massachusetts 0.0100.0
12. Davidson 0.0100.0
13. Richmond 0.0100.0
14. La Salle 0.0100.0
15. Fordham 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 18 Saint Louis 34.2% 72 77 65.8% Arkansas St.
Mar. 18 Kent St. 25.3% 60 67 74.7% St. Bonaventure
Mar. 19 Dayton 48.4% 76 77 51.6% Florida Atlantic
Mar. 19 UAB 24.3% 75 83 75.7% Saint Joseph's
Mar. 19 Samford 19.3% 67 77 80.7% George Mason
Mar. 19 Loyola Chicago 45.2% 69 71 54.8% San Jose St.
Mar. 20 BYU 59.0% 75 72 41.0% VCU