NCAA Tournament Projections

Percent odds of making it to each round.
Based on 100,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.

Updated with games through Monday, April 08

Rank	Team	Round 1	Round 2	Sweet 16	Elite Eight	Final Four	Final	Champion
1.	1 Connecticut (1)		100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0
2.	1 Purdue (3)		100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0
3.	11 North Carolina St. (50)		100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0
4.	4 Alabama (9)		100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0
5.	3 Illinois (12)		100.0	100.0	100.0
6.	2 Tennessee (7)		100.0	100.0	100.0
7.	4 Duke (11)		100.0	100.0	100.0
8.	6 Clemson (21)		100.0	100.0	100.0
9.	2 Iowa St. (5)		100.0	100.0
10.	5 San Diego St. (26)		100.0	100.0
11.	3 Creighton (10)		100.0	100.0
12.	5 Gonzaga (16)		100.0	100.0
13.	1 Houston (2)		100.0	100.0
14.	2 Marquette (14)		100.0	100.0
15.	1 North Carolina (8)		100.0	100.0
16.	2 Arizona (4)		100.0	100.0
17.	11 Duquesne (91)		100.0
18.	13 Yale (95)		100.0
19.	7 Washington St. (37)		100.0
20.	9 Northwestern (45)		100.0
21.	11 Oregon (56)		100.0
22.	4 Kansas (23)		100.0
23.	7 Texas (25)		100.0
24.	8 Utah St. (55)		100.0
25.	10 Colorado (22)	100.0	100.0
26.	12 James Madison (71)		100.0
27.	14 Oakland (130)		100.0
28.	9 Texas A&M (43)		100.0
29.	12 Grand Canyon (51)		100.0
30.	3 Baylor (13)		100.0
31.	7 Dayton (24)		100.0
32.	9 Michigan St. (18)		100.0
33.	10 Drake (54)
34.	12 UAB (106)
35.	14 Morehead St. (117)
36.	15 South Dakota St. (135)
37.	16 Stetson (202)
38.	4 Auburn (6)
39.	6 BYU (15)
40.	8 Florida Atlantic (49)
41.	10 Colorado St. (46)	100.0
42.	10 Virginia (62)
43.	12 McNeese St. (65)
44.	13 Samford (94)
45.	14 Akron (126)
46.	15 Saint Peter's (195)
47.	16 Montana St. (213)
48.	16 Grambling St. (286)	100.0
49.	6 South Carolina (70)
50.	9 TCU (35)
51.	10 Boise St. (34)
52.	13 Vermont (104)
53.	15 Western Kentucky (142)
54.	16 Longwood (167)
55.	3 Kentucky (20)
56.	5 Wisconsin (19)
57.	6 Texas Tech (29)
58.	7 Florida (30)
59.	8 Nebraska (38)
60.	10 Nevada (41)
61.	11 New Mexico (33)
62.	13 College of Charleston (105)
63.	14 Colgate (133)
64.	15 Long Beach St. (172)
65.	16 Wagner (299)	100.0
66.	16 Howard (276)
67.	5 Saint Mary's (17)
68.	8 Mississippi St. (40)