Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

ACC

Updated with games through Monday, March 17

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

ACC Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th
1. Duke (1) 19 - 1 31 - 3 19.0 - 1.0 31.0 - 3.0 100.0
2. Louisville (23) 18 - 2 27 - 7 18.0 - 2.0 27.0 - 7.0 100.0
3. Clemson (25) 18 - 2 27 - 6 18.0 - 2.0 27.0 - 6.0 100.0
4. Wake Forest (71) 13 - 7 21 - 11 13.0 - 7.0 21.0 - 11.0 100.0
5. North Carolina (32) 13 - 7 22 - 13 13.0 - 7.0 22.0 - 13.0 100.0
6. SMU (41) 13 - 7 23 - 10 13.0 - 7.0 23.0 - 10.0 100.0
7. Stanford (83) 11 - 9 20 - 13 11.0 - 9.0 20.0 - 13.0 100.0
8. Georgia Tech (101) 10 - 10 17 - 16 10.0 - 10.0 17.0 - 16.0 100.0
9. Virginia (107) 8 - 12 15 - 17 8.0 - 12.0 15.0 - 17.0 100.0
10. Virginia Tech (151) 8 - 12 13 - 18 8.0 - 12.0 13.0 - 18.0 100.0
11. Florida St. (78) 8 - 12 17 - 14 8.0 - 12.0 17.0 - 14.0 100.0
12. Notre Dame (92) 8 - 12 14 - 18 8.0 - 12.0 14.0 - 18.0 100.0
13. Pittsburgh (51) 8 - 12 17 - 14 8.0 - 12.0 17.0 - 14.0 100.0
14. Syracuse (127) 7 - 13 13 - 19 7.0 - 13.0 13.0 - 19.0 100.0
15. California (110) 6 - 14 13 - 19 6.0 - 14.0 13.0 - 19.0 100.0
16. North Carolina St. (115) 5 - 15 12 - 19 5.0 - 15.0 12.0 - 19.0 100.0
17. Boston College (194) 4 - 16 12 - 19 4.0 - 16.0 12.0 - 19.0 100.0
18. Miami FL (188) 3 - 17 7 - 24 3.0 - 17.0 7.0 - 24.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. Duke (1) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Louisville (23) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. Clemson (25) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. Wake Forest (71) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. North Carolina (32) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. SMU (41) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Stanford (83) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. Georgia Tech (101) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. Virginia (107) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. Virginia Tech (151) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. Florida St. (78) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
12. Notre Dame (92) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
13. Pittsburgh (51) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
14. Syracuse (127) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
15. California (110) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
16. North Carolina St. (115) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
17. Boston College (194) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
18. Miami FL (188) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th
1. Duke 100.0100.0
2. Louisville 0.0100.0
3. Clemson 0.0100.0
4. Wake Forest 0.0100.0
5. North Carolina 0.0100.0
6. SMU 0.0100.0
7. Stanford 0.0100.0
8. Georgia Tech 0.0100.0
9. Virginia 0.0100.0
10. Virginia Tech 0.0100.0
11. Florida St. 0.0100.0
12. Notre Dame 0.0100.0
13. Pittsburgh 0.0100.0
14. Syracuse 0.0100.0
15. California 0.0100.0
16. North Carolina St. 0.0100.0
17. Boston College 0.0100.0
18. Miami FL 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 18 Jacksonville St. 28.4% 67 73 71.6% Georgia Tech
Mar. 18 Cal St. Northridge 24.4% 72 80 75.6% Stanford
Mar. 18 North Carolina 61.8% 74 71 38.2% San Diego St.
Mar. 19 Northern Iowa 13.1% 67 80 86.9% SMU
Mar. 20 Creighton 39.2% 73 76 60.8% Louisville
Mar. 20 Clemson 71.5% 70 64 28.5% McNeese St.