America East
Updated with games through Thursday, November 21
Conference Projections
Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the
Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.
| America East |
Current Record |
Projected Record |
Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers) |
|
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Conf. |
Overall |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th |
| 1. |
UMass Lowell (132) |
0 - 0 |
1 - 2 |
11.7 - 4.3 |
19.0 - 9.0 |
37.9 | 25.2 | 17.4 | 10.2 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2. |
Vermont (154) |
0 - 0 |
2 - 3 |
11.0 - 5.0 |
18.0 - 11.0 |
26.7 | 24.9 | 19.4 | 13.6 | 8.2 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3. |
Bryant (163) |
0 - 0 |
2 - 2 |
10.7 - 5.3 |
16.3 - 12.7 |
21.2 | 23.2 | 21.3 | 15.2 | 10.2 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 4. |
Maine (223) |
0 - 0 |
1 - 3 |
9.2 - 6.8 |
15.2 - 13.8 |
8.8 | 13.9 | 18.6 | 20.3 | 15.5 | 11.2 | 7.0 | 3.7 | 1.1 |
| 5. |
Albany (273) |
0 - 0 |
2 - 1 |
7.7 - 8.3 |
13.6 - 15.4 |
3.0 | 6.2 | 10.0 | 15.3 | 19.7 | 18.0 | 14.4 | 9.6 | 3.8 |
| 6. |
UMBC (310) |
0 - 0 |
1 - 3 |
6.6 - 9.4 |
10.2 - 17.8 |
1.1 | 2.6 | 5.4 | 9.7 | 15.8 | 20.1 | 19.8 | 17.1 | 8.3 |
| 7. |
Binghamton (315) |
0 - 0 |
0 - 4 |
6.5 - 9.5 |
9.9 - 18.1 |
1.0 | 3.0 | 5.1 | 9.9 | 13.8 | 19.4 | 21.5 | 17.6 | 8.7 |
| 8. |
New Hampshire (346) |
0 - 0 |
0 - 6 |
5.3 - 10.7 |
7.2 - 21.8 |
0.2 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 9.3 | 14.9 | 21.0 | 27.7 | 18.4 |
| 9. |
NJIT (362) |
0 - 0 |
0 - 6 |
3.2 - 12.8 |
4.8 - 25.2 |
| 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 10.4 | 22.2 | 59.3 |
This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.
|
Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers) |
|
Team |
Outright |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th |
| 1. |
UMass Lowell |
30.9 | 44.5 | 25.3 | 15.5 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| 2. |
Vermont |
21.7 | 33.0 | 25.5 | 17.8 | 11.9 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3. |
Bryant |
16.8 | 27.2 | 24.6 | 20.4 | 13.3 | 8.0 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 4. |
Maine |
6.2 | 11.7 | 16.4 | 19.2 | 20.1 | 14.6 | 9.3 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| 5. |
Albany |
2.1 | 4.3 | 7.7 | 11.8 | 17.0 | 20.1 | 16.6 | 12.7 | 7.2 | 2.6 |
| 6. |
UMBC |
0.8 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 7.0 | 11.4 | 18.0 | 19.8 | 18.2 | 14.1 | 6.2 |
| 7. |
Binghamton |
0.6 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 6.5 | 11.2 | 15.8 | 19.6 | 20.3 | 15.2 | 6.0 |
| 8. |
New Hampshire |
0.2 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 6.2 | 11.4 | 16.6 | 21.4 | 25.7 | 13.7 |
| 9. |
NJIT |
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 6.3 | 12.1 | 24.8 | 52.2 |
