Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

America East

Updated with games through Tuesday, January 27

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

America East Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th
1. Vermont (217) 5 - 1 11 - 8 12.9 - 3.1 18.9 - 10.1 78.817.33.00.70.20.10.00.0
2. UMBC (282) 5 - 1 10 - 7 10.8 - 5.2 15.8 - 11.2 18.349.717.18.23.81.90.80.2
3. New Hampshire (313) 3 - 3 5 - 12 8.6 - 7.4 10.6 - 16.4 0.89.523.421.816.713.09.35.40.1
4. Albany (317) 3 - 3 4 - 14 8.3 - 7.7 9.3 - 18.7 1.110.419.018.817.815.711.16.10.0
5. NJIT (344) 4 - 2 8 - 12 8.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 18.0 0.75.915.116.818.318.115.29.70.2
6. UMass Lowell (328) 3 - 3 5 - 13 7.6 - 8.4 9.6 - 18.4 0.23.610.414.217.018.721.214.60.3
7. Maine (336) 3 - 4 4 - 17 7.4 - 8.6 8.4 - 21.6 0.12.99.614.117.417.918.119.30.5
8. Bryant (346) 2 - 4 4 - 14 6.3 - 9.7 8.3 - 19.7 0.00.72.55.48.814.623.740.53.7
9. Binghamton (362) 0 - 7 1 - 18 2.2 - 13.8 3.2 - 24.8 0.00.00.10.64.295.2
Weekly Changes
1. Vermont (217) +13.2-3.0-4.9-2.8-1.6-0.7-0.3-0.0+0.0
2. UMBC (282) +2.6+23.6-3.5-7.2-6.4-4.7-3.2-1.2-0.0
3. New Hampshire (313) -0.6+2.2+9.4+5.6-1.2-5.3-5.4-3.8-0.7
4. Albany (317) -6.4-8.3-0.4+2.5+3.5+3.9+3.0+2.1-0.0
5. NJIT (344) -3.0-5.1+0.3-1.1+1.3+2.7+2.8+2.2-0.1
6. UMass Lowell (328) -5.2-9.4-5.2-3.1+0.3+4.3+10.5+7.7+0.1
7. Maine (336) -0.2+0.9+5.4+7.7+7.4+3.4-3.0-16.9-4.8
8. Bryant (346) -0.3-0.8-1.2-1.6-3.2-3.4-3.3+13.6+0.3
9. Binghamton (362) +0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.1-0.2-1.1-3.7+5.2


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th
1. Vermont 74.586.811.21.50.30.10.00.00.0
2. UMBC 11.022.154.114.15.72.61.10.40.1
3. New Hampshire 0.52.015.828.020.613.910.26.23.30.1
4. Albany 0.31.414.123.420.316.512.47.74.20.0
5. NJIT 0.41.39.419.519.518.115.910.95.30.0
6. UMass Lowell 0.10.57.415.216.618.116.615.69.80.1
7. Maine 0.00.25.013.116.618.017.817.211.90.2
8. Bryant 0.00.01.24.57.911.616.622.833.71.8
9. Binghamton 0.00.00.00.00.20.95.393.6






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Jan. 29 NJIT 26.6% 69 76 73.4% Albany
Jan. 29 Bryant 54.9% 68 67 45.1% Binghamton
Jan. 29 UMBC 22.3% 68 76 77.7% Vermont
Jan. 29 UMass Lowell 30.6% 71 77 69.4% New Hampshire
Jan. 31 UMBC 47.3% 72 73 52.7% Albany
Jan. 31 New Hampshire 50.5% 66 65 49.5% Bryant
Jan. 31 UMass Lowell 37.0% 66 69 63.0% Maine
Jan. 31 NJIT 10.4% 65 79 89.6% Vermont