America East
Updated with games through Thursday, December 11
Conference Projections
Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the
Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.
| America East |
Current Record |
Projected Record |
Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers) |
|
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Conf. |
Overall |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th |
| 1. |
Vermont (196) |
0 - 0 |
4 - 5 |
12.0 - 4.0 |
18.5 - 10.5 |
58.4 | 20.9 | 9.6 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2. |
UMBC (295) |
0 - 0 |
4 - 4 |
9.2 - 6.8 |
14.8 - 12.2 |
11.3 | 18.6 | 17.9 | 15.5 | 12.5 | 10.0 | 7.2 | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| 3. |
Maine (305) |
0 - 0 |
1 - 11 |
9.1 - 6.9 |
11.2 - 18.8 |
10.4 | 18.0 | 18.1 | 15.2 | 12.9 | 10.5 | 7.2 | 5.2 | 2.7 |
| 4. |
Bryant (299) |
0 - 0 |
2 - 8 |
9.0 - 7.0 |
11.5 - 16.5 |
10.1 | 18.0 | 17.6 | 15.3 | 13.3 | 10.2 | 7.8 | 5.1 | 2.6 |
| 5. |
Albany (328) |
0 - 0 |
0 - 8 |
7.4 - 8.6 |
7.9 - 20.1 |
3.0 | 7.6 | 9.8 | 12.5 | 15.1 | 15.2 | 14.9 | 13.3 | 8.7 |
| 6. |
UMass Lowell (324) |
0 - 0 |
1 - 7 |
7.3 - 8.7 |
9.2 - 18.8 |
2.9 | 6.8 | 9.8 | 12.7 | 13.9 | 14.3 | 15.3 | 14.3 | 10.1 |
| 7. |
New Hampshire (332) |
0 - 0 |
1 - 7 |
7.1 - 8.9 |
8.8 - 18.2 |
2.3 | 6.0 | 9.2 | 12.0 | 13.5 | 15.5 | 16.7 | 14.6 | 10.2 |
| 8. |
NJIT (346) |
0 - 0 |
4 - 7 |
6.4 - 9.6 |
11.0 - 19.0 |
1.5 | 3.6 | 6.4 | 8.7 | 11.5 | 14.5 | 17.1 | 20.2 | 16.5 |
| 9. |
Binghamton (359) |
0 - 0 |
1 - 7 |
4.6 - 11.4 |
6.2 - 21.8 |
0.1 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 4.7 | 8.2 | 13.1 | 22.2 | 47.0 |
Weekly Changes |
| 1. |
Vermont (196) |
|
-1.4 | +0.6 | +0.1 | +0.6 | -0.3 | +0.3 | +0.0 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2. |
UMBC (295) |
|
+0.4 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -0.1 | +0.1 | +0.4 | +0.5 | +0.1 | -0.4 |
| 3. |
Maine (305) |
|
+0.8 | +0.4 | +0.6 | -0.1 | -0.3 | +0.0 | -1.2 | +0.3 | -0.6 |
| 4. |
Bryant (299) |
|
-0.7 | -0.6 | +0.4 | -0.4 | +1.1 | -0.1 | +0.7 | -0.1 | -0.3 |
| 5. |
Albany (328) |
|
+0.3 | +0.7 | -0.2 | +0.4 | +1.5 | +0.9 | +0.7 | -1.0 | -3.2 |
| 6. |
UMass Lowell (324) |
|
+0.2 | -0.8 | +0.3 | +0.3 | +0.0 | -0.1 | -0.4 | +1.1 | -0.7 |
| 7. |
New Hampshire (332) |
|
+0.6 | +2.0 | +2.5 | +3.0 | +1.9 | +1.1 | +0.4 | -2.9 | -8.6 |
| 8. |
NJIT (346) |
|
+0.3 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -0.3 | +0.2 | +0.3 | +1.5 | +1.7 | -2.8 |
| 9. |
Binghamton (359) |
|
-0.5 | -1.7 | -2.5 | -3.6 | -4.1 | -2.9 | -2.1 | +0.8 | +16.6 |
This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.
|
Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers) |
|
Team |
Outright |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th |
| 1. |
Vermont |
51.1 | 65.8 | 18.6 | 7.5 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 2. |
UMBC |
8.2 | 14.7 | 21.7 | 18.4 | 15.4 | 11.5 | 8.1 | 5.4 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| 3. |
Maine |
7.6 | 14.4 | 20.9 | 17.9 | 15.0 | 11.6 | 8.6 | 5.9 | 4.0 | 1.7 |
| 4. |
Bryant |
7.4 | 13.6 | 20.8 | 18.2 | 15.6 | 11.8 | 8.5 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| 5. |
Albany |
2.0 | 4.3 | 9.7 | 11.9 | 13.8 | 15.2 | 14.8 | 13.2 | 11.0 | 6.0 |
| 6. |
UMass Lowell |
2.0 | 4.4 | 8.8 | 12.0 | 13.7 | 14.2 | 14.4 | 13.5 | 11.8 | 7.2 |
| 7. |
New Hampshire |
1.5 | 3.6 | 7.7 | 11.1 | 13.5 | 14.1 | 15.3 | 15.0 | 12.1 | 7.6 |
| 8. |
NJIT |
0.9 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 8.0 | 10.5 | 12.5 | 15.1 | 16.4 | 17.9 | 12.6 |
| 9. |
Binghamton |
0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 6.0 | 9.9 | 14.3 | 22.6 | 40.1 |
