Atlantic Sun
Updated with games through Thursday, November 21
Conference Projections
Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the
Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.
| Atlantic Sun |
Current Record |
Projected Record |
Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers) |
|
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Conf. |
Overall |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th | 10th | 11th | 12th |
| 1. |
Lipscomb (170) |
0 - 0 |
2 - 4 |
12.1 - 5.9 |
17.3 - 11.7 |
23.9 | 18.7 | 15.7 | 12.6 | 9.2 | 7.3 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2. |
Florida Gulf Coast (180) |
0 - 0 |
0 - 4 |
11.5 - 6.5 |
14.9 - 15.1 |
17.6 | 16.5 | 14.6 | 13.0 | 10.3 | 8.7 | 6.9 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 3. |
North Alabama (184) |
0 - 0 |
2 - 2 |
11.3 - 6.7 |
17.1 - 11.9 |
16.2 | 15.5 | 14.1 | 13.1 | 11.4 | 9.5 | 7.0 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 4. |
Jacksonville (195) |
0 - 0 |
2 - 2 |
10.9 - 7.1 |
14.4 - 12.6 |
14.6 | 13.4 | 13.5 | 12.6 | 11.2 | 9.5 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 5. |
North Florida (210) |
0 - 0 |
3 - 2 |
10.6 - 7.4 |
15.5 - 13.5 |
12.2 | 13.3 | 12.8 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 10.2 | 8.7 | 6.8 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 6. |
Eastern Kentucky (233) |
0 - 0 |
2 - 1 |
9.6 - 8.4 |
14.5 - 14.5 |
6.6 | 8.1 | 9.7 | 10.8 | 11.8 | 11.3 | 11.0 | 10.5 | 8.4 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| 7. |
Austin Peay (252) |
0 - 0 |
2 - 2 |
9.5 - 8.5 |
13.6 - 15.4 |
5.6 | 7.6 | 9.0 | 10.3 | 11.9 | 12.1 | 11.7 | 10.3 | 8.1 | 6.4 | 4.6 | 2.4 |
| 8. |
Bellarmine (299) |
0 - 0 |
0 - 5 |
7.2 - 10.8 |
9.2 - 19.8 |
1.1 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 4.7 | 6.3 | 8.2 | 10.4 | 12.3 | 14.0 | 14.2 | 13.5 | 10.4 |
| 9. |
Stetson (314) |
0 - 0 |
0 - 4 |
7.2 - 10.8 |
8.6 - 19.4 |
0.9 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 7.8 | 10.7 | 12.1 | 13.4 | 15.5 | 14.5 | 10.4 |
| 10. |
Queens (322) |
0 - 0 |
1 - 3 |
6.9 - 11.1 |
9.9 - 19.1 |
0.8 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 7.1 | 9.2 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 15.1 | 15.6 | 14.5 |
| 11. |
West Georgia (333) |
0 - 0 |
0 - 5 |
6.3 - 11.7 |
7.8 - 22.2 |
0.5 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 5.8 | 7.3 | 10.6 | 13.1 | 16.0 | 18.6 | 19.1 |
| 12. |
Central Arkansas (353) |
0 - 0 |
0 - 4 |
4.9 - 13.1 |
6.3 - 22.7 |
0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 6.4 | 9.3 | 14.5 | 22.1 | 38.1 |
This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.
|
Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers) |
|
Team |
Outright |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th | 10th | 11th | 12th |
| 1. |
Lipscomb |
19.7 | 30.1 | 20.1 | 15.3 | 11.6 | 7.7 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 2. |
Florida Gulf Coast |
14.1 | 23.0 | 18.3 | 14.6 | 12.6 | 9.0 | 7.6 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 3. |
North Alabama |
12.8 | 20.9 | 17.4 | 14.5 | 12.7 | 10.5 | 8.2 | 6.1 | 4.3 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 4. |
Jacksonville |
10.8 | 18.1 | 15.4 | 13.7 | 12.4 | 11.2 | 8.7 | 6.6 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 5. |
North Florida |
8.9 | 15.4 | 14.7 | 13.3 | 12.1 | 11.5 | 9.8 | 7.7 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 6. |
Eastern Kentucky |
4.8 | 8.7 | 10.2 | 10.6 | 11.3 | 11.6 | 11.4 | 10.5 | 9.7 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 7. |
Austin Peay |
4.0 | 7.7 | 9.2 | 10.7 | 11.7 | 12.1 | 11.8 | 11.0 | 8.8 | 7.1 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| 8. |
Bellarmine |
0.7 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 5.7 | 6.9 | 9.0 | 10.6 | 12.9 | 13.9 | 13.2 | 11.9 | 7.8 |
| 9. |
Stetson |
0.6 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 11.2 | 12.3 | 13.6 | 14.1 | 11.9 | 8.1 |
| 10. |
Queens |
0.5 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 4.8 | 5.8 | 8.2 | 9.7 | 12.3 | 13.9 | 14.5 | 13.3 | 10.9 |
| 11. |
West Georgia |
0.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 7.1 | 8.6 | 11.5 | 14.0 | 15.6 | 16.2 | 14.9 |
| 12. |
Central Arkansas |
0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 7.6 | 10.4 | 15.4 | 21.7 | 32.5 |
