Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

American

Updated with games through Friday, March 27

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

American Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th
1. South Florida (51) 17 - 3 24 - 9 17.0 - 3.0 24.0 - 9.0 100.0
2. Tulsa (57) 15 - 6 27 - 7 15.0 - 6.0 27.0 - 7.0 100.0
3. Wichita St. (75) 14 - 7 23 - 12 14.0 - 7.0 23.0 - 12.0 100.0
4. UAB (123) 11 - 8 19 - 12 11.0 - 8.0 19.0 - 12.0 100.0
5. Charlotte (182) 11 - 10 16 - 17 11.0 - 10.0 16.0 - 17.0 100.0
6. North Texas (144) 10 - 10 17 - 14 10.0 - 10.0 17.0 - 14.0 100.0
7. Florida Atlantic (127) 10 - 10 16 - 15 10.0 - 10.0 16.0 - 15.0 100.0
8. Tulane (219) 9 - 11 17 - 15 9.0 - 11.0 17.0 - 15.0 100.0
9. Memphis (137) 8 - 11 13 - 19 8.0 - 11.0 13.0 - 19.0 100.0
10. Temple (166) 8 - 11 15 - 16 8.0 - 11.0 15.0 - 16.0 100.0
11. Rice (247) 7 - 11 11 - 18 7.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 18.0 100.0
12. East Carolina (265) 6 - 12 10 - 20 6.0 - 12.0 10.0 - 20.0 100.0
13. UTSA (344) 1 - 17 3 - 25 1.0 - 17.0 3.0 - 25.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. South Florida (51) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Tulsa (57) +0.0+100.0-100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. Wichita St. (75) +0.0-100.0+100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. UAB (123) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Charlotte (182) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. North Texas (144) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Florida Atlantic (127) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. Tulane (219) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. Memphis (137) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. Temple (166) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. Rice (247) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
12. East Carolina (265) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
13. UTSA (344) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th
1. South Florida 100.0100.0
2. Tulsa 0.0100.0
3. Wichita St. 0.0100.0
4. UAB 0.0100.0
5. Charlotte 0.0100.0
6. North Texas 0.0100.0
7. Florida Atlantic 0.0100.0
8. Tulane 0.0100.0
9. Memphis 0.0100.0
10. Temple 0.0100.0
11. Rice 0.0100.0
12. East Carolina 0.0100.0
13. UTSA 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Apr. 02 New Mexico 59.3% 83 80 40.7% Tulsa