Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

American

Updated with games through Monday, March 17

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

American Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th
1. Memphis (56) 16 - 2 29 - 5 16.0 - 2.0 29.0 - 5.0 100.0
2. North Texas (69) 14 - 4 22 - 8 14.0 - 4.0 22.0 - 8.0 100.0
3. UAB (112) 13 - 5 21 - 12 13.0 - 5.0 21.0 - 12.0 100.0
4. Tulane (138) 12 - 6 17 - 14 12.0 - 6.0 17.0 - 14.0 100.0
5. Florida Atlantic (104) 10 - 8 17 - 15 10.0 - 8.0 17.0 - 15.0 100.0
6. East Carolina (183) 10 - 8 17 - 14 10.0 - 8.0 17.0 - 14.0 100.0
7. Temple (169) 9 - 9 16 - 15 9.0 - 9.0 16.0 - 15.0 100.0
8. Wichita St. (130) 8 - 10 18 - 14 8.0 - 10.0 18.0 - 14.0 100.0
9. South Florida (178) 6 - 12 12 - 19 6.0 - 12.0 12.0 - 19.0 100.0
10. Tulsa (257) 6 - 12 11 - 20 6.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 20.0 100.0
11. UTSA (192) 6 - 12 10 - 19 6.0 - 12.0 10.0 - 19.0 100.0
12. Rice (185) 4 - 14 13 - 18 4.0 - 14.0 13.0 - 18.0 100.0
13. Charlotte (256) 3 - 15 10 - 22 3.0 - 15.0 10.0 - 22.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. Memphis (56) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. North Texas (69) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. UAB (112) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. Tulane (138) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Florida Atlantic (104) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+53.0-53.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. East Carolina (183) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-53.0+86.1-33.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Temple (169) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-33.1+33.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. Wichita St. (130) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. South Florida (178) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+37.8-29.6-8.2+0.0+0.0
10. Tulsa (257) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-17.8+50.8-33.1+0.0+0.0
11. UTSA (192) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-20.0-21.2+41.2+0.0+0.0
12. Rice (185) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+33.5-33.5
13. Charlotte (256) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-33.5+33.5


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th
1. Memphis 100.0100.0
2. North Texas 0.0100.0
3. UAB 0.0100.0
4. Tulane 0.0100.0
5. Florida Atlantic 0.0100.0
6. East Carolina 0.0100.0
7. Temple 0.0100.0
8. Wichita St. 0.0100.0
9. South Florida 0.0100.0
10. Tulsa 0.0100.0
11. UTSA 0.0100.0
12. Rice 0.0100.0
13. Charlotte 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 18 Wichita St. 24.7% 71 79 75.3% Oklahoma St.
Mar. 19 Dayton 48.4% 76 77 51.6% Florida Atlantic
Mar. 19 Furman 16.5% 58 68 83.5% North Texas
Mar. 19 UAB 24.3% 75 83 75.7% Saint Joseph's
Mar. 21 Colorado St. 54.2% 75 74 45.8% Memphis