Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

Big 12

Updated with games through Monday, March 17

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Big 12 Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th
1. Houston (3) 19 - 1 30 - 4 19.0 - 1.0 30.0 - 4.0 100.0
2. Texas Tech (7) 15 - 5 25 - 8 15.0 - 5.0 25.0 - 8.0 100.0
3. Arizona (9) 14 - 6 22 - 12 14.0 - 6.0 22.0 - 12.0 100.0
4. BYU (21) 14 - 6 24 - 9 14.0 - 6.0 24.0 - 9.0 100.0
5. Iowa St. (8) 13 - 7 24 - 9 13.0 - 7.0 24.0 - 9.0 100.0
6. Kansas (20) 11 - 9 21 - 12 11.0 - 9.0 21.0 - 12.0 100.0
7. Baylor (19) 10 - 10 18 - 14 10.0 - 10.0 18.0 - 14.0 100.0
8. West Virginia (49) 10 - 10 19 - 13 10.0 - 10.0 19.0 - 13.0 100.0
9. TCU (81) 9 - 11 16 - 15 9.0 - 11.0 16.0 - 15.0 100.0
10. Kansas St. (73) 9 - 11 15 - 17 9.0 - 11.0 15.0 - 17.0 100.0
11. Utah (63) 8 - 12 16 - 15 8.0 - 12.0 16.0 - 15.0 100.0
12. Oklahoma St. (94) 7 - 13 15 - 16 7.0 - 13.0 15.0 - 16.0 100.0
13. Cincinnati (45) 7 - 13 17 - 15 7.0 - 13.0 17.0 - 15.0 100.0
14. UCF (75) 7 - 13 16 - 16 7.0 - 13.0 16.0 - 16.0 100.0
15. Arizona St. (68) 4 - 16 13 - 18 4.0 - 16.0 13.0 - 18.0 100.0
16. Colorado (82) 3 - 17 13 - 20 3.0 - 17.0 13.0 - 20.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. Houston (3) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Texas Tech (7) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. Arizona (9) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. BYU (21) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Iowa St. (8) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. Kansas (20) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Baylor (19) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. West Virginia (49) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. TCU (81) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. Kansas St. (73) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. Utah (63) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
12. Oklahoma St. (94) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
13. Cincinnati (45) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
14. UCF (75) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
15. Arizona St. (68) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
16. Colorado (82) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th
1. Houston 100.0100.0
2. Texas Tech 0.0100.0
3. Arizona 0.0100.0
4. BYU 0.0100.0
5. Iowa St. 0.0100.0
6. Kansas 0.0100.0
7. Baylor 0.0100.0
8. West Virginia 0.0100.0
9. TCU 0.0100.0
10. Kansas St. 0.0100.0
11. Utah 0.0100.0
12. Oklahoma St. 0.0100.0
13. Cincinnati 0.0100.0
14. UCF 0.0100.0
15. Arizona St. 0.0100.0
16. Colorado 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 18 Wichita St. 24.7% 71 79 75.3% Oklahoma St.
Mar. 20 Arkansas 36.3% 71 75 63.7% Kansas
Mar. 20 Houston 98.8% 76 49 1.2% SIU Edwardsville
Mar. 20 UNC Wilmington 6.7% 65 82 93.3% Texas Tech
Mar. 20 BYU 59.0% 75 72 41.0% VCU
Mar. 21 Akron 7.5% 75 94 92.5% Arizona
Mar. 21 Iowa St. 87.8% 79 65 12.2% Lipscomb
Mar. 21 Baylor 59.6% 76 73 40.4% Mississippi St.