Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

Big 12

Updated with games through Friday, March 13

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Big 12 Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th
1. Arizona (3) 18 - 2 31 - 2 18.0 - 2.0 31.0 - 2.0 100.0
2. Houston (8) 16 - 4 28 - 5 16.0 - 4.0 28.0 - 5.0 100.0
3. Iowa St. (6) 14 - 7 27 - 7 14.0 - 7.0 27.0 - 7.0 100.0
4. Kansas (22) 13 - 7 23 - 10 13.0 - 7.0 23.0 - 10.0 100.0
5. Texas Tech (14) 12 - 7 22 - 10 12.0 - 7.0 22.0 - 10.0 100.0
6. TCU (42) 12 - 8 22 - 11 12.0 - 8.0 22.0 - 11.0 100.0
7. BYU (19) 11 - 10 23 - 11 11.0 - 10.0 23.0 - 11.0 100.0
8. UCF (53) 10 - 10 21 - 11 10.0 - 10.0 21.0 - 11.0 100.0
9. Cincinnati (46) 10 - 10 18 - 15 10.0 - 10.0 18.0 - 15.0 100.0
10. West Virginia (60) 9 - 10 18 - 14 9.0 - 10.0 18.0 - 14.0 100.0
11. Arizona St. (73) 8 - 12 17 - 16 8.0 - 12.0 17.0 - 16.0 100.0
12. Colorado (65) 7 - 12 17 - 15 7.0 - 12.0 17.0 - 15.0 100.0
13. Oklahoma St. (69) 7 - 13 19 - 14 7.0 - 13.0 19.0 - 14.0 100.0
14. Baylor (41) 6 - 13 15 - 16 6.0 - 13.0 15.0 - 16.0 100.0
15. Kansas St. (98) 3 - 16 12 - 20 3.0 - 16.0 12.0 - 20.0 100.0
16. Utah (116) 2 - 17 10 - 22 2.0 - 17.0 10.0 - 22.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. Arizona (3) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Houston (8) +0.0+7.2-7.2+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. Iowa St. (6) +0.0+0.0+100.0-6.5-88.7-4.7+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. Kansas (22) +0.0+0.0-54.9+61.4-6.5+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Texas Tech (14) +0.0-7.2-37.9-54.9+100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. TCU (42) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-4.7+38.6-33.9+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. BYU (19) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+100.0+0.0+0.0-100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. UCF (53) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+33.9-33.9+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. Cincinnati (46) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-33.9+0.0+0.0+33.9+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. West Virginia (60) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-66.1-33.9+0.0+100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. Arizona St. (73) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+93.5-93.5+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
12. Colorado (65) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-93.5+93.5+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
13. Oklahoma St. (69) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+71.7-71.7+0.0+0.0
14. Baylor (41) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-71.7+71.7+0.0+0.0
15. Kansas St. (98) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
16. Utah (116) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th
1. Arizona 100.0100.0
2. Houston 0.0100.0
3. Iowa St. 0.0100.0
4. Kansas 0.0100.0
5. Texas Tech 0.0100.0
6. TCU 0.0100.0
7. BYU 0.0100.0
8. UCF 0.0100.0
9. Cincinnati 0.0100.0
10. West Virginia 0.0100.0
11. Arizona St. 0.0100.0
12. Colorado 0.0100.0
13. Oklahoma St. 0.0100.0
14. Baylor 0.0100.0
15. Kansas St. 0.0100.0
16. Utah 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 14 Arizona 64.6% 73 69 35.4% Houston