Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

Big South

Updated with games through Thursday, November 21

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Big South Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th
1. High Point (110) 0 - 0 5 - 0 11.3 - 4.7 19.8 - 7.2 37.523.915.99.86.23.52.00.90.3
2. Gardner Webb (125) 0 - 0 2 - 3 10.7 - 5.3 17.0 - 11.0 27.324.816.612.48.55.52.81.50.5
3. Winthrop (160) 0 - 0 3 - 2 9.5 - 6.5 16.1 - 11.9 14.417.217.716.412.99.56.63.71.6
4. Longwood (188) 0 - 0 4 - 0 8.6 - 7.4 15.6 - 10.4 8.511.815.416.315.213.010.26.63.1
5. UNC Asheville (200) 0 - 0 1 - 2 8.3 - 7.7 13.1 - 12.9 6.910.213.515.515.714.611.68.03.9
6. Radford (244) 0 - 0 3 - 2 7.1 - 8.9 12.7 - 15.3 2.85.68.711.614.517.216.613.89.2
7. Charleston Southern (262) 0 - 0 0 - 5 6.6 - 9.4 8.8 - 20.2 1.84.17.09.512.916.017.917.613.1
8. Presbyterian (293) 0 - 0 2 - 3 5.6 - 10.4 10.5 - 18.5 0.61.93.96.39.412.918.624.222.2
9. USC Upstate (335) 0 - 0 0 - 4 4.3 - 11.7 6.4 - 21.6 0.20.61.42.24.77.713.723.746.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th
1. High Point 31.244.123.913.98.44.82.71.30.60.2
2. Gardner Webb 22.134.024.616.111.06.74.22.00.90.3
3. Winthrop 11.118.419.117.816.011.58.05.32.61.1
4. Longwood 5.911.214.016.616.514.311.98.45.02.3
5. UNC Asheville 5.19.412.015.015.815.613.29.86.52.7
6. Radford 1.84.26.710.613.214.816.615.311.76.9
7. Charleston Southern 1.22.85.38.411.113.816.217.315.69.6
8. Presbyterian 0.41.02.74.87.810.514.118.822.118.1
9. USC Upstate 0.10.40.81.83.25.99.015.424.139.5






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Nov. 22 Longwood 30.3% 70 75 69.7% UAB
Nov. 22 USC Upstate 13.5% 66 79 86.5% East Tennessee St.
Nov. 22 Winthrop 10.9% 65 80 89.1% Louisville
Nov. 22 Southeast Missouri St. 22.9% 70 79 77.1% UNC Asheville
Nov. 22 Youngstown St. 70.1% 78 72 29.9% Presbyterian
Nov. 23 Furman 61.0% 75 72 39.0% Charleston Southern
Nov. 23 Presbyterian 50.3% 76 75 49.7% Monmouth
Nov. 23 USC Upstate 46.3% 76 77 53.7% Queens
Nov. 24 UNC Asheville 73.0% 76 69 27.0% Central Arkansas
Nov. 24 Missouri St. 36.6% 73 77 63.4% High Point
Nov. 25 Radford 78.0% 76 68 22.0% Chicago St.
Nov. 25 LIU Brooklyn 8.7% 65 82 91.3% Winthrop
Nov. 26 Southeastern Louisiana 16.7% 64 75 83.3% Gardner Webb
Nov. 26 USC Upstate 1.6% 66 96 98.4% Iowa
Nov. 27 Charleston Southern 9.7% 66 82 90.3% Georgia Tech
Nov. 27 Presbyterian 32.5% 70 75 67.5% Tennessee Tech