Big West

Conference Projections

Big Ten tiebreaking procedures

Big West	Current Record	Projected Record	Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
	Team	Conf.	Overall	Conf.	Overall	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th	8th	9th	10th	11th
1.	UC Irvine (80)	0 - 0	3 - 0	14.9 - 5.1	22.9 - 8.1	48.7	22.5	12.7	6.7	4.1	2.5	1.2	0.8	0.4	0.3	0.1
2.	UC Santa Barbara (108)	0 - 0	3 - 1	13.1 - 6.9	19.7 - 9.3	22.1	23.7	16.8	12.4	8.4	6.1	4.3	2.7	1.7	1.2	0.6
3.	UC San Diego (145)	0 - 0	3 - 2	11.6 - 8.4	16.5 - 12.5	10.5	15.4	15.7	13.7	11.6	10.3	7.2	5.9	4.6	3.4	1.7
4.	UC Davis (152)	0 - 0	2 - 2	11.2 - 8.8	16.1 - 12.9	8.1	13.2	14.2	14.2	12.2	10.3	8.2	7.2	5.5	4.3	2.6
5.	Cal Poly (204)	0 - 0	2 - 3	9.3 - 10.7	13.9 - 17.1	2.4	5.6	8.3	10.2	11.2	11.3	11.3	11.2	10.2	9.8	8.4
6.	UC Riverside (217)	0 - 0	1 - 3	8.9 - 11.1	12.7 - 17.3	2.0	4.4	6.9	9.1	10.2	11.3	11.7	11.9	11.9	10.5	10.0
7.	Cal St. Northridge (219)	0 - 0	2 - 1	8.8 - 11.2	13.7 - 15.3	1.9	4.1	6.7	9.0	10.1	11.2	11.6	12.0	12.0	11.3	10.1
8.	Cal St. Bakersfield (224)	0 - 0	2 - 1	8.7 - 11.3	14.3 - 16.7	1.8	3.8	6.5	8.2	9.9	10.4	12.2	12.0	12.0	12.0	11.1
9.	Hawaii (235)	0 - 0	4 - 0	8.3 - 11.7	13.5 - 15.5	1.3	3.4	5.2	6.6	8.5	10.0	11.6	12.2	13.3	13.7	14.1
10.	Cal St. Fullerton (251)	0 - 0	1 - 4	7.8 - 12.2	10.8 - 19.2	0.7	2.4	4.0	5.4	7.7	8.7	10.3	12.4	14.4	15.9	18.1
11.	Long Beach St. (258)	0 - 0	0 - 4	7.3 - 12.7	9.5 - 20.5	0.7	1.5	2.9	4.5	6.0	7.9	10.2	11.7	14.0	17.6	23.2

Big West

Current Record

Projected Record

Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)

Team

Conf.

Overall

Conf.

Overall

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

10th

11th

UC Irvine (80)

0 - 0

3 - 0

14.9 - 5.1

22.9 - 8.1

48.7

22.5

12.7

6.7

4.1

2.5

1.2

0.8

0.4

0.3

0.1

UC Santa Barbara (108)

0 - 0

3 - 1

13.1 - 6.9

19.7 - 9.3

22.1

23.7

16.8

12.4

8.4

6.1

4.3

2.7

1.7

1.2

0.6

UC San Diego (145)

0 - 0

3 - 2

11.6 - 8.4

16.5 - 12.5

10.5

15.4

15.7

13.7

11.6

10.3

7.2

5.9

4.6

3.4

1.7

UC Davis (152)

0 - 0

2 - 2

11.2 - 8.8

16.1 - 12.9

8.1

13.2

14.2

12.2

10.3

8.2

7.2

5.5

4.3

2.6

Cal Poly (204)

0 - 0

2 - 3

9.3 - 10.7

13.9 - 17.1

2.4

5.6

8.3

10.2

11.2

11.3

11.2

10.2

9.8

8.4

UC Riverside (217)

0 - 0

1 - 3

8.9 - 11.1

12.7 - 17.3

2.0

4.4

6.9

9.1

10.2

11.3

11.7

11.9

10.5

10.0

Cal St. Northridge (219)

0 - 0

2 - 1

8.8 - 11.2

13.7 - 15.3

1.9

4.1

6.7

9.0

10.1

11.2

11.6

12.0

11.3

10.1

Cal St. Bakersfield (224)

0 - 0

2 - 1

8.7 - 11.3

14.3 - 16.7

1.8

3.8

6.5

8.2

9.9

10.4

12.2

12.0

11.1

Hawaii (235)

0 - 0

4 - 0

8.3 - 11.7

13.5 - 15.5

1.3

3.4

5.2

6.6

8.5

10.0

11.6

12.2

13.3

13.7

14.1

10.

Cal St. Fullerton (251)

0 - 0

1 - 4

7.8 - 12.2

10.8 - 19.2

0.7

2.4

4.0

5.4

7.7

8.7

10.3

12.4

14.4

15.9

18.1

11.

Long Beach St. (258)

0 - 0

0 - 4

7.3 - 12.7

9.5 - 20.5

0.7

1.5

2.9

4.5

6.0

7.9

10.2

11.7

14.0

17.6

23.2

	Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
	Team	Outright	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th	8th	9th	10th	11th
1.	UC Irvine	43.0	55.1	21.3	11.0	5.5	3.1	1.8	1.0	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1
2.	UC Santa Barbara	18.0	26.7	24.8	16.4	11.5	7.6	5.0	3.5	1.9	1.5	0.8	0.4
3.	UC San Diego	7.9	13.6	16.8	16.6	13.8	11.2	9.0	6.6	4.9	3.7	2.5	1.2
4.	UC Davis	5.9	10.6	15.3	15.5	14.5	11.4	9.7	7.6	6.1	4.4	3.2	1.9
5.	Cal Poly	1.7	3.4	6.9	9.7	11.3	12.2	11.8	11.0	10.3	8.6	8.4	6.4
6.	UC Riverside	1.3	2.7	5.4	8.4	10.4	11.4	11.4	11.7	11.3	10.7	9.1	7.6
7.	Cal St. Northridge	1.2	2.7	5.4	7.6	10.3	11.2	11.1	12.0	11.2	10.7	9.7	8.1
8.	Cal St. Bakersfield	1.2	2.4	5.0	7.9	9.0	10.9	11.5	12.1	11.6	10.9	10.2	8.6
9.	Hawaii	0.9	1.7	4.5	5.9	8.1	9.5	10.9	11.4	11.9	12.6	12.0	11.5
10.	Cal St. Fullerton	0.5	1.2	3.3	4.9	6.4	8.6	9.5	10.7	12.8	13.9	14.3	14.4
11.	Long Beach St.	0.5	0.9	1.9	3.8	5.3	7.5	8.6	10.5	12.2	13.9	16.1	19.2

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)

Team

Outright

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

10th

11th

UC Irvine

43.0

55.1

21.3

11.0

5.5

3.1

1.8

1.0

0.6

0.4

0.2

0.1

UC Santa Barbara

18.0

26.7

24.8

16.4

11.5

7.6

5.0

3.5

1.9

1.5

0.8

0.4

UC San Diego

7.9

13.6

16.8

16.6

13.8

11.2

9.0

6.6

4.9

3.7

2.5

1.2

UC Davis

5.9

10.6

15.3

15.5

14.5

11.4

9.7

7.6

6.1

4.4

3.2

1.9

Cal Poly

1.7

3.4

6.9

9.7

11.3

12.2

11.8

11.0

10.3

8.6

8.4

6.4

UC Riverside

1.3

2.7

5.4

8.4

10.4

11.4

11.7

11.3

10.7

9.1

7.6

Cal St. Northridge

1.2

2.7

5.4

7.6

10.3

11.2

11.1

12.0

11.2

10.7

9.7

8.1

Cal St. Bakersfield

1.2

2.4

5.0

7.9

9.0

10.9

11.5

12.1

11.6

10.9

10.2

8.6

Hawaii

0.9

1.7

4.5

5.9

8.1

9.5

10.9

11.4

11.9

12.6

12.0

11.5

10.

Cal St. Fullerton

0.5

1.2

3.3

4.9

6.4

8.6

9.5

10.7

12.8

13.9

14.3

14.4

11.

Long Beach St.

0.5

0.9

1.9

3.8

5.3

7.5

8.6

10.5

12.2

13.9

16.1

19.2

This Week's Games

Date	Away	W Prob, Pred Score				Home
Nov. 22	Cal St. Bakersfield	28.8%	64	70	71.2%	Florida Gulf Coast
Nov. 22	Cal St. Fullerton	3.1%	51	74	96.9%	UCLA
Nov. 22	UC Irvine	65.0%	73	68	35.0%	Weber St.
Nov. 22	UC Riverside	15.0%	65	77	85.0%	Colorado St.
Nov. 22	North Carolina	94.8%	85	65	5.2%	Hawaii
Nov. 22	UC San Diego	55.8%	76	74	44.2%	James Madison
Nov. 23	Cal Poly	7.5%	65	82	92.5%	Saint Mary's
Nov. 23	FIU	39.9%	71	74	60.1%	Cal St. Bakersfield
Nov. 23	Fresno St.	45.0%	74	76	55.0%	Long Beach St.
Nov. 23	North Carolina	94.8%	85	65	5.2%	Hawaii
Nov. 24	Alcorn St.	12.8%	64	77	87.2%	UC Riverside
Nov. 24	Northeastern	53.4%	71	70	46.6%	Cal St. Bakersfield
Nov. 24	Dixie St.	39.6%	73	76	60.4%	Cal St. Northridge
Nov. 25	Denver	36.4%	77	81	63.6%	Cal St. Northridge
Nov. 25	Norfolk St.	28.8%	66	73	71.2%	UC Davis
Nov. 25	UNC Greensboro	77.9%	77	69	22.1%	Long Beach St.
Nov. 26	Grambling St.	24.7%	66	74	75.3%	Cal Poly
Nov. 26	Cal St. Fullerton	29.7%	69	75	70.3%	Pepperdine
Nov. 26	Eastern Washington	22.4%	73	82	77.6%	UC Santa Barbara
Nov. 26	UTEP	62.6%	73	70	37.4%	Long Beach St.
Nov. 27	Cal St. Northridge	33.1%	71	76	66.9%	Montana
Nov. 27	San Jose St.	55.8%	73	71	44.2%	Long Beach St.
Nov. 28	Kennesaw St.	15.5%	71	84	84.5%	UC Irvine