Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

Big West

Updated with games through Monday, March 17

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Big West Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th
1. UC San Diego (38) 18 - 2 28 - 4 18.0 - 2.0 28.0 - 4.0 100.0
2. UC Irvine (67) 17 - 3 27 - 6 17.0 - 3.0 27.0 - 6.0 100.0
3. UC Riverside (150) 14 - 6 19 - 12 14.0 - 6.0 19.0 - 12.0 100.0
4. Cal St. Northridge (111) 14 - 6 20 - 10 14.0 - 6.0 20.0 - 10.0 100.0
5. UC Santa Barbara (129) 11 - 9 19 - 13 11.0 - 9.0 19.0 - 13.0 100.0
6. UC Davis (237) 9 - 11 13 - 17 9.0 - 11.0 13.0 - 17.0 100.0
7. Cal Poly (179) 8 - 12 15 - 19 8.0 - 12.0 15.0 - 19.0 100.0
8. Cal St. Bakersfield (246) 8 - 12 12 - 19 8.0 - 12.0 12.0 - 19.0 100.0
9. Hawaii (210) 7 - 13 13 - 16 7.0 - 13.0 13.0 - 16.0 100.0
10. Long Beach St. (300) 3 - 17 5 - 25 3.0 - 17.0 5.0 - 25.0 100.0
11. Cal St. Fullerton (348) 1 - 19 4 - 26 1.0 - 19.0 4.0 - 26.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. UC San Diego (38) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. UC Irvine (67) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. UC Riverside (150) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. Cal St. Northridge (111) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. UC Santa Barbara (129) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. UC Davis (237) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Cal Poly (179) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. Cal St. Bakersfield (246) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. Hawaii (210) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. Long Beach St. (300) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. Cal St. Fullerton (348) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th
1. UC San Diego 100.0100.0
2. UC Irvine 0.0100.0
3. UC Riverside 0.0100.0
4. Cal St. Northridge 0.0100.0
5. UC Santa Barbara 0.0100.0
6. UC Davis 0.0100.0
7. Cal Poly 0.0100.0
8. Cal St. Bakersfield 0.0100.0
9. Hawaii 0.0100.0
10. Long Beach St. 0.0100.0
11. Cal St. Fullerton 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 18 UC Riverside 9.9% 69 85 90.1% Santa Clara
Mar. 18 Cal St. Northridge 24.4% 72 80 75.6% Stanford
Mar. 19 Northern Colorado 15.5% 69 81 84.5% UC Irvine
Mar. 20 UC San Diego 40.8% 71 73 59.2% Michigan