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Colonial

Updated with games through Monday, March 17

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Colonial Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th
1. Towson (163) 16 - 2 21 - 11 16.0 - 2.0 21.0 - 11.0 100.0
2. UNC Wilmington (113) 14 - 4 24 - 7 14.0 - 4.0 24.0 - 7.0 100.0
3. College of Charleston (159) 13 - 5 23 - 9 13.0 - 5.0 23.0 - 9.0 100.0
4. William & Mary (235) 11 - 7 15 - 15 11.0 - 7.0 15.0 - 15.0 100.0
5. Campbell (221) 10 - 8 13 - 17 10.0 - 8.0 13.0 - 17.0 100.0
6. Monmouth (266) 10 - 8 13 - 20 10.0 - 8.0 13.0 - 20.0 100.0
7. Northeastern (217) 9 - 9 17 - 15 9.0 - 9.0 17.0 - 15.0 100.0
8. Drexel (193) 9 - 9 17 - 15 9.0 - 9.0 17.0 - 15.0 100.0
9. Elon (187) 8 - 10 15 - 15 8.0 - 10.0 15.0 - 15.0 100.0
10. Hampton (225) 8 - 10 14 - 16 8.0 - 10.0 14.0 - 16.0 100.0
11. Hofstra (211) 6 - 12 13 - 18 6.0 - 12.0 13.0 - 18.0 100.0
12. Delaware (239) 5 - 13 14 - 19 5.0 - 13.0 14.0 - 19.0 100.0
13. Stony Brook (346) 4 - 14 7 - 24 4.0 - 14.0 7.0 - 24.0 100.0
14. North Carolina A&T (331) 3 - 15 6 - 25 3.0 - 15.0 6.0 - 25.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. Towson (163) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. UNC Wilmington (113) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. College of Charleston (159) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. William & Mary (235) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Campbell (221) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. Monmouth (266) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Northeastern (217) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. Drexel (193) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. Elon (187) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. Hampton (225) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. Hofstra (211) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
12. Delaware (239) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
13. Stony Brook (346) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
14. North Carolina A&T (331) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th
1. Towson 100.0100.0
2. UNC Wilmington 0.0100.0
3. College of Charleston 0.0100.0
4. William & Mary 0.0100.0
5. Campbell 0.0100.0
6. Monmouth 0.0100.0
7. Northeastern 0.0100.0
8. Drexel 0.0100.0
9. Elon 0.0100.0
10. Hampton 0.0100.0
11. Hofstra 0.0100.0
12. Delaware 0.0100.0
13. Stony Brook 0.0100.0
14. North Carolina A&T 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 20 UNC Wilmington 6.7% 65 82 93.3% Texas Tech
Mar. 23 Army 20.7% 68 76 79.3% Elon