Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

Colonial

Updated with games through Thursday, November 21

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Colonial Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th
1. College of Charleston (114) 0 - 0 4 - 1 12.3 - 5.7 19.0 - 9.0 23.617.314.211.99.37.35.34.12.71.91.30.70.40.1
2. Towson (118) 0 - 0 2 - 2 12.3 - 5.7 19.5 - 10.5 21.319.015.411.69.17.55.14.02.61.91.20.70.40.1
3. UNC Wilmington (131) 0 - 0 2 - 1 11.9 - 6.1 19.3 - 9.7 19.416.714.612.210.17.76.04.23.32.51.60.90.60.3
4. Hofstra (148) 0 - 0 3 - 1 11.5 - 6.5 17.7 - 11.3 13.914.814.712.010.49.46.95.64.13.32.41.40.80.4
5. Drexel (189) 0 - 0 2 - 2 10.0 - 8.0 14.3 - 13.7 6.78.09.310.110.29.79.28.97.66.44.84.33.11.7
6. Elon (199) 0 - 0 1 - 2 9.8 - 8.2 14.7 - 14.3 5.17.18.09.610.310.410.18.88.16.95.94.53.41.7
7. Northeastern (201) 0 - 0 3 - 1 9.4 - 8.6 16.3 - 14.7 3.85.77.48.99.89.810.410.49.17.96.54.83.52.0
8. William & Mary (230) 0 - 0 2 - 3 8.6 - 9.4 13.1 - 15.9 2.34.05.06.67.88.69.710.310.19.29.17.85.83.8
9. Delaware (243) 0 - 0 2 - 2 8.0 - 10.0 12.4 - 16.6 1.52.63.75.36.37.39.09.810.410.99.89.28.25.9
10. Campbell (261) 0 - 0 1 - 2 7.3 - 10.7 11.4 - 17.6 1.01.72.33.94.96.37.58.59.610.611.511.810.89.6
11. Stony Brook (279) 0 - 0 1 - 3 7.1 - 10.9 11.2 - 18.8 0.51.22.13.24.45.77.28.49.811.112.212.111.311.0
12. North Carolina A&T (295) 0 - 0 2 - 2 6.8 - 11.2 11.1 - 17.9 0.61.01.62.43.34.86.37.59.711.412.113.413.912.2
13. Monmouth (296) 0 - 0 0 - 6 6.3 - 11.7 8.2 - 22.8 0.30.71.31.83.14.25.36.48.29.412.514.416.715.6
14. Hampton (347) 0 - 0 1 - 3 4.8 - 13.2 6.6 - 18.4 0.00.10.30.50.91.42.13.14.96.79.314.221.135.5


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th
1. College of Charleston 18.329.218.514.311.08.36.14.63.02.01.40.90.40.30.1
2. Towson 16.928.419.814.810.78.25.84.32.82.11.40.90.50.30.1
3. UNC Wilmington 15.324.418.015.211.68.86.85.03.52.61.81.20.50.40.2
4. Hofstra 10.418.616.914.911.910.17.66.24.53.42.41.61.00.50.2
5. Drexel 4.58.610.010.510.511.09.89.87.56.85.44.03.02.11.1
6. Elon 3.47.28.49.710.510.710.69.98.17.16.04.93.42.51.1
7. Northeastern 2.95.67.18.89.510.310.310.69.78.16.95.53.72.61.3
8. William & Mary 1.53.35.16.17.78.69.210.010.79.48.57.96.34.42.8
9. Delaware 0.92.13.44.66.37.08.39.510.210.210.29.38.46.44.1
10. Campbell 0.61.42.13.24.45.96.78.99.19.810.611.110.89.26.9
11. Stony Brook 0.20.81.82.93.85.56.68.18.810.511.011.910.99.87.6
12. North Carolina A&T 0.30.81.62.13.04.25.97.48.410.411.411.612.611.39.4
13. Monmouth 0.20.41.01.72.44.14.76.77.58.99.912.413.614.612.1
14. Hampton 0.00.10.20.50.81.21.93.03.75.97.310.415.520.329.3






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Nov. 22 Campbell 3.0% 57 81 97.0% Ohio St.
Nov. 22 Drexel 28.4% 66 73 71.6% Fordham
Nov. 22 Elon 7.0% 60 77 93.0% Notre Dame
Nov. 22 Northeastern 63.3% 79 75 36.7% FIU
Nov. 22 Hofstra 1.6% 52 79 98.4% Houston
Nov. 22 Monmouth 15.4% 63 75 84.6% Stephen F. Austin
Nov. 22 William & Mary 8.4% 68 85 91.6% North Carolina St.
Nov. 23 Stony Brook 21.4% 74 83 78.6% Columbia
Nov. 23 Vermont 67.4% 69 64 32.6% Delaware
Nov. 23 Northeastern 31.7% 68 73 68.3% Florida Gulf Coast
Nov. 23 Presbyterian 50.3% 76 75 49.7% Monmouth
Nov. 24 William & Mary 35.3% 72 76 64.7% Appalachian St.
Nov. 24 Hampton 2.0% 58 85 98.0% Boise St.
Nov. 24 Northeastern 53.4% 71 70 46.6% Cal St. Bakersfield
Nov. 24 Campbell 45.8% 69 70 54.2% Evansville
Nov. 24 College of Charleston 39.1% 79 82 60.9% Rhode Island
Nov. 24 Yale 82.6% 79 68 17.4% Delaware
Nov. 24 Towson 80.8% 75 65 19.2% Morgan St.
Nov. 25 North Carolina A&T 45.3% 77 78 54.7% Buffalo
Nov. 25 Fort Wayne 71.0% 77 71 29.0% Drexel
Nov. 27 Stony Brook 19.5% 68 78 80.5% Brown
Nov. 27 Colgate 20.8% 66 75 79.2% UNC Wilmington
Nov. 27 Northern Kentucky 22.0% 68 77 78.0% College of Charleston
Nov. 28 Towson 52.0% 64 63 48.0% Kent St.