Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

Conference USA

Updated with games through Friday, March 27

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Conference USA Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th
1. Liberty (121) 17 - 4 23 - 8 17.0 - 4.0 23.0 - 8.0 100.0
2. Sam Houston St. (116) 14 - 8 19 - 12 14.0 - 8.0 19.0 - 12.0 100.0
3. Kennesaw St. (150) 13 - 10 18 - 14 13.0 - 10.0 18.0 - 14.0 100.0
4. Louisiana Tech (214) 13 - 10 17 - 14 13.0 - 10.0 17.0 - 14.0 100.0
5. Western Kentucky (163) 11 - 10 16 - 14 11.0 - 10.0 16.0 - 14.0 100.0
6. Middle Tennessee (162) 11 - 10 14 - 15 11.0 - 10.0 14.0 - 15.0 100.0
7. Jacksonville St. (213) 10 - 11 12 - 17 10.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 17.0 100.0
8. Missouri St. (202) 10 - 13 13 - 18 10.0 - 13.0 13.0 - 18.0 100.0
9. New Mexico St. (187) 9 - 13 13 - 16 9.0 - 13.0 13.0 - 16.0 100.0
10. FIU (193) 8 - 13 12 - 17 8.0 - 13.0 12.0 - 17.0 100.0
11. UTEP (267) 7 - 13 8 - 20 7.0 - 13.0 8.0 - 20.0 100.0
12. Delaware (288) 6 - 14 10 - 20 6.0 - 14.0 10.0 - 20.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. Liberty (121) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Sam Houston St. (116) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. Kennesaw St. (150) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. Louisiana Tech (214) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Western Kentucky (163) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. Middle Tennessee (162) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Jacksonville St. (213) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. Missouri St. (202) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. New Mexico St. (187) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. FIU (193) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. UTEP (267) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
12. Delaware (288) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th
1. Liberty 100.0100.0
2. Sam Houston St. 0.0100.0
3. Kennesaw St. 0.0100.0
4. Louisiana Tech 0.0100.0
5. Western Kentucky 0.0100.0
6. Middle Tennessee 0.0100.0
7. Jacksonville St. 0.0100.0
8. Missouri St. 0.0100.0
9. New Mexico St. 0.0100.0
10. FIU 0.0100.0
11. UTEP 0.0100.0
12. Delaware 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home