Ivy League
Updated with games through Thursday, November 21
Conference Projections
Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the
Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.
| Ivy League |
Current Record |
Projected Record |
Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers) |
|
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Conf. |
Overall |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th |
| 1. |
Yale (85) |
0 - 0 |
2 - 3 |
10.6 - 3.4 |
17.1 - 7.9 |
50.6 | 24.2 | 12.8 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2. |
Princeton (127) |
0 - 0 |
4 - 2 |
9.0 - 5.0 |
16.3 - 9.7 |
20.6 | 25.0 | 19.7 | 15.6 | 10.0 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| 3. |
Cornell (153) |
0 - 0 |
2 - 2 |
8.3 - 5.7 |
13.9 - 11.1 |
13.3 | 20.0 | 20.8 | 17.4 | 13.9 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| 4. |
Brown (177) |
0 - 0 |
2 - 3 |
7.5 - 6.5 |
12.4 - 13.6 |
7.2 | 13.5 | 17.7 | 20.1 | 18.0 | 13.4 | 7.2 | 2.9 |
| 5. |
Columbia (191) |
0 - 0 |
6 - 0 |
7.2 - 6.8 |
16.7 - 9.3 |
6.0 | 11.0 | 16.1 | 18.5 | 19.7 | 15.6 | 9.3 | 3.9 |
| 6. |
Harvard (250) |
0 - 0 |
1 - 4 |
5.9 - 8.1 |
9.8 - 16.2 |
1.8 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 13.3 | 18.9 | 23.1 | 18.4 | 10.5 |
| 7. |
Penn (317) |
0 - 0 |
2 - 3 |
4.1 - 9.9 |
8.3 - 17.7 |
0.4 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 5.3 | 9.5 | 18.2 | 31.1 | 31.9 |
| 8. |
Dartmouth (339) |
0 - 0 |
1 - 3 |
3.5 - 10.5 |
6.1 - 18.9 |
0.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 6.6 | 13.5 | 26.4 | 48.6 |
This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.
|
Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers) |
|
Team |
Outright |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th |
| 1. |
Yale |
43.8 | 58.6 | 21.8 | 10.5 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2. |
Princeton |
15.4 | 25.9 | 26.6 | 19.2 | 13.6 | 8.0 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| 3. |
Cornell |
9.9 | 17.9 | 22.4 | 20.8 | 16.0 | 11.9 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 0.9 |
| 4. |
Brown |
5.1 | 10.0 | 16.3 | 20.0 | 19.3 | 15.8 | 11.6 | 5.1 | 1.9 |
| 5. |
Columbia |
4.1 | 8.1 | 13.6 | 17.4 | 19.1 | 18.4 | 13.5 | 7.3 | 2.6 |
| 6. |
Harvard |
1.1 | 2.9 | 6.4 | 11.1 | 15.1 | 19.3 | 22.0 | 15.8 | 7.4 |
| 7. |
Penn |
0.2 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 6.5 | 11.4 | 20.2 | 30.6 | 25.5 |
| 8. |
Dartmouth |
0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 8.4 | 15.9 | 28.2 | 40.6 |
