Ivy League
Updated with games through Tuesday, January 27
Conference Projections
Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the
Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.
| Ivy League |
Current Record |
Projected Record |
Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers) |
|
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Conf. |
Overall |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th |
| 1. |
Yale (61) |
4 - 1 |
13 - 3 |
11.5 - 2.5 |
21.4 - 4.6 |
94.7 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | |
| 2. |
Columbia (152) |
2 - 3 |
11 - 6 |
7.6 - 6.4 |
16.6 - 9.4 |
2.4 | 33.7 | 21.6 | 15.8 | 11.7 | 8.2 | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| 3. |
Cornell (166) |
2 - 3 |
7 - 9 |
7.0 - 7.0 |
12.0 - 13.0 |
0.8 | 17.7 | 19.9 | 17.8 | 15.3 | 13.9 | 11.6 | 2.9 |
| 4. |
Harvard (190) |
3 - 2 |
9 - 9 |
6.9 - 7.1 |
12.9 - 14.1 |
1.2 | 16.4 | 17.0 | 17.1 | 16.3 | 14.7 | 12.4 | 4.8 |
| 5. |
Penn (183) |
2 - 3 |
8 - 9 |
6.7 - 7.3 |
12.7 - 13.3 |
0.3 | 12.5 | 17.6 | 17.8 | 17.8 | 15.9 | 13.5 | 4.5 |
| 6. |
Princeton (234) |
3 - 2 |
6 - 13 |
6.3 - 7.7 |
9.3 - 18.7 |
0.3 | 9.1 | 12.0 | 15.2 | 17.6 | 20.2 | 20.3 | 5.3 |
| 7. |
Dartmouth (242) |
3 - 2 |
7 - 9 |
6.1 - 7.9 |
10.1 - 14.9 |
0.2 | 5.9 | 10.2 | 14.3 | 17.3 | 19.5 | 21.1 | 11.4 |
| 8. |
Brown (272) |
1 - 4 |
5 - 11 |
3.9 - 10.1 |
7.9 - 17.1 |
0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 7.5 | 16.0 | 69.7 |
Weekly Changes |
| 1. |
Yale (61) |
|
+9.4 | -6.0 | -2.1 | -0.8 | -0.4 | -0.1 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2. |
Columbia (152) |
|
-0.1 | +15.4 | +2.2 | -2.2 | -3.9 | -4.5 | -4.3 | -2.7 |
| 3. |
Cornell (166) |
|
+0.1 | +9.2 | +8.6 | +3.8 | -1.3 | -5.6 | -9.3 | -5.5 |
| 4. |
Harvard (190) |
|
-4.9 | -10.8 | -3.8 | +0.7 | +3.5 | +5.8 | +6.9 | +2.7 |
| 5. |
Penn (183) |
|
-2.6 | -5.0 | -1.8 | -0.2 | +2.3 | +2.7 | +3.7 | +0.9 |
| 6. |
Princeton (234) |
|
-0.2 | +4.1 | +2.5 | +2.8 | +1.4 | -0.5 | -1.8 | -8.3 |
| 7. |
Dartmouth (242) |
|
-1.7 | -6.6 | -5.4 | -3.2 | -0.1 | +3.8 | +8.6 | +4.6 |
| 8. |
Brown (272) |
|
+0.0 | -0.2 | -0.4 | -0.8 | -1.5 | -1.7 | -3.8 | +8.4 |
This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.
|
Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers) |
|
Team |
Outright |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th |
| 1. |
Yale |
92.4 | 97.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | | | |
| 2. |
Columbia |
0.8 | 3.5 | 41.7 | 21.7 | 13.6 | 9.5 | 6.1 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 3. |
Cornell |
0.4 | 1.6 | 26.9 | 23.0 | 16.2 | 13.7 | 9.9 | 6.9 | 1.8 |
| 4. |
Harvard |
0.4 | 1.7 | 22.1 | 21.1 | 18.0 | 15.7 | 11.4 | 7.6 | 2.4 |
| 5. |
Penn |
0.1 | 0.8 | 21.3 | 19.9 | 17.9 | 16.3 | 12.4 | 9.0 | 2.4 |
| 6. |
Princeton |
0.1 | 0.3 | 13.6 | 15.5 | 16.8 | 17.9 | 16.9 | 15.4 | 3.6 |
| 7. |
Dartmouth |
0.1 | 0.5 | 10.2 | 14.0 | 16.1 | 19.3 | 17.8 | 16.1 | 5.9 |
| 8. |
Brown |
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 5.9 | 10.0 | 18.1 | 60.7 |
