Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

Metro Atlantic

Updated with games through Monday, March 17

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Metro Atlantic Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th
1. Quinnipiac (222) 15 - 5 19 - 13 15.0 - 5.0 19.0 - 13.0 100.0
2. Merrimack (196) 14 - 6 18 - 15 14.0 - 6.0 18.0 - 15.0 100.0
3. Marist (267) 13 - 7 20 - 10 13.0 - 7.0 20.0 - 10.0 100.0
4. Iona (271) 12 - 8 17 - 17 12.0 - 8.0 17.0 - 17.0 100.0
5. Mount St. Mary's (263) 12 - 8 21 - 12 12.0 - 8.0 21.0 - 12.0 100.0
6. Manhattan (270) 12 - 8 16 - 13 12.0 - 8.0 16.0 - 13.0 100.0
7. Sacred Heart (277) 10 - 10 13 - 18 10.0 - 10.0 13.0 - 18.0 100.0
8. Rider (321) 9 - 11 13 - 19 9.0 - 11.0 13.0 - 19.0 100.0
9. Siena (260) 9 - 11 14 - 17 9.0 - 11.0 14.0 - 17.0 100.0
10. Fairfield (338) 8 - 12 11 - 19 8.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 19.0 100.0
11. Saint Peter's (301) 7 - 13 11 - 16 7.0 - 13.0 11.0 - 16.0 100.0
12. Niagara (332) 6 - 14 10 - 20 6.0 - 14.0 10.0 - 20.0 100.0
13. Canisius (360) 3 - 17 3 - 28 3.0 - 17.0 3.0 - 28.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. Quinnipiac (222) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Merrimack (196) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. Marist (267) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. Iona (271) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Mount St. Mary's (263) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+100.0-100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. Manhattan (270) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-100.0+100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Sacred Heart (277) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. Rider (321) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. Siena (260) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. Fairfield (338) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. Saint Peter's (301) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
12. Niagara (332) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
13. Canisius (360) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th
1. Quinnipiac 100.0100.0
2. Merrimack 0.0100.0
3. Marist 0.0100.0
4. Iona 0.0100.0
5. Mount St. Mary's 0.0100.0
6. Manhattan 0.0100.0
7. Sacred Heart 0.0100.0
8. Rider 0.0100.0
9. Siena 0.0100.0
10. Fairfield 0.0100.0
11. Saint Peter's 0.0100.0
12. Niagara 0.0100.0
13. Canisius 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 19 American 55.1% 66 65 44.9% Mount St. Mary's
Mar. 23 Incarnate Word 57.0% 75 73 43.0% Manhattan