Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

Metro Atlantic

Updated with games through Thursday, March 12

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Metro Atlantic Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th
1. Merrimack (208) 19 - 4 23 - 11 19.0 - 4.0 23.0 - 11.0 100.0
2. Siena (204) 16 - 7 23 - 11 16.0 - 7.0 23.0 - 11.0 100.0
3. Saint Peter's (259) 14 - 7 16 - 12 14.0 - 7.0 16.0 - 12.0 100.0
4. Marist (183) 13 - 9 18 - 12 13.0 - 9.0 18.0 - 12.0 100.0
5. Quinnipiac (231) 12 - 9 18 - 13 12.0 - 9.0 18.0 - 13.0 100.0
6. Fairfield (264) 13 - 10 20 - 13 13.0 - 10.0 20.0 - 13.0 100.0
7. Mount St. Mary's (293) 11 - 10 14 - 17 11.0 - 10.0 14.0 - 17.0 100.0
8. Iona (258) 10 - 11 18 - 14 10.0 - 11.0 18.0 - 14.0 100.0
9. Sacred Heart (307) 10 - 12 13 - 19 10.0 - 12.0 13.0 - 19.0 100.0
10. Manhattan (335) 8 - 13 11 - 20 8.0 - 13.0 11.0 - 20.0 100.0
11. Niagara (346) 5 - 15 7 - 22 5.0 - 15.0 7.0 - 22.0 100.0
12. Canisius (350) 5 - 15 9 - 21 5.0 - 15.0 9.0 - 21.0 100.0
13. Rider (357) 3 - 17 3 - 25 3.0 - 17.0 3.0 - 25.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. Merrimack (208) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Siena (204) +0.0+100.0-100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. Saint Peter's (259) +0.0-100.0+100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. Marist (183) +0.0+0.0+0.0+100.0-100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Quinnipiac (231) +0.0+0.0+0.0-100.0+100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. Fairfield (264) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Mount St. Mary's (293) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. Iona (258) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. Sacred Heart (307) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. Manhattan (335) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. Niagara (346) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
12. Canisius (350) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
13. Rider (357) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th
1. Merrimack 100.0100.0
2. Siena 0.0100.0
3. Saint Peter's 0.0100.0
4. Marist 0.0100.0
5. Quinnipiac 0.0100.0
6. Fairfield 0.0100.0
7. Mount St. Mary's 0.0100.0
8. Iona 0.0100.0
9. Sacred Heart 0.0100.0
10. Manhattan 0.0100.0
11. Niagara 0.0100.0
12. Canisius 0.0100.0
13. Rider 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home