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Mid-Eastern

Updated with games through Thursday, November 21

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Mid-Eastern		Current Record		Projected Record		Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
	Team	Conf.	Overall	Conf.	Overall	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th	8th
1.	Norfolk St. (182)	0 - 0	2 - 2	10.3 - 3.7	15.8 - 12.2	42.5	23.8	16.7	9.8	4.8	1.9	0.4	0.1
2.	Howard (228)	0 - 0	2 - 2	9.0 - 4.0	14.6 - 10.4	26.6	27.8	20.6	12.7	6.7	3.9	1.6	0.2
3.	North Carolina Central (234)	0 - 0	1 - 5	8.6 - 4.4	12.3 - 13.7	18.4	25.0	25.3	16.2	8.2	4.7	1.8	0.5
4.	South Carolina St. (294)	0 - 0	0 - 3	7.7 - 6.3	10.9 - 16.1	8.2	12.8	17.3	21.6	19.0	12.9	6.0	2.1
5.	Morgan St. (344)	0 - 0	1 - 3	6.9 - 8.1	9.5 - 17.5	2.2	5.2	9.6	18.1	23.2	20.7	14.3	6.7
6.	Delaware St. (350)	0 - 0	0 - 3	5.9 - 8.1	8.5 - 16.5	1.8	4.4	7.6	13.8	21.4	26.0	17.2	7.7
7.	Md Eastern Shore (358)	0 - 0	0 - 5	4.7 - 10.3	5.4 - 21.6	0.3	0.9	2.4	6.1	12.4	19.6	32.2	26.2
8.	Coppin St. (363)	0 - 0	0 - 7	2.9 - 11.1	3.8 - 24.2	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.6	4.3	10.4	26.4	56.5

This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

			Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
	Team	Outright	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th	8th
1.	Norfolk St.	41.0	43.9	24.1	16.7	9.1	4.3	1.6	0.2	0.1
2.	Howard	23.9	27.9	28.3	19.6	12.1	6.5	3.8	1.6	0.2
3.	North Carolina Central	17.1	21.1	26.1	23.2	15.0	7.9	4.6	1.7	0.5
4.	South Carolina St.	7.0	9.4	13.3	17.6	22.0	18.8	12.1	5.3	1.6
5.	Morgan St.	2.2	2.2	5.2	9.8	18.5	23.8	21.2	13.1	6.2
6.	Delaware St.	1.5	2.2	4.8	8.4	14.7	21.4	25.5	16.8	6.1
7.	Md Eastern Shore	0.3	0.3	0.9	2.4	6.8	13.1	20.0	31.0	25.6
8.	Coppin St.	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.9	4.9	11.6	26.2	54.6

This Week's Games

Date	Away	W Prob, Pred Score				Home
Nov. 22	South Carolina St.	46.7%	71	72	53.3%	Alabama A&M
Nov. 22	Morgan St.	33.1%	78	83	66.9%	Buffalo
Nov. 22	North Carolina Central	37.7%	72	75	62.3%	Georgia St.
Nov. 22	Norfolk St.	16.2%	67	78	83.8%	Grand Canyon
Nov. 23	Delaware St.	20.4%	63	72	79.6%	Mount St. Mary's
Nov. 23	Md Eastern Shore	1.2%	61	93	98.8%	Illinois
Nov. 23	South Carolina St.	77.0%	78	69	23.0%	IUPUI
Nov. 24	Howard	60.4%	71	68	39.6%	Boston University
Nov. 24	Towson	80.8%	75	65	19.2%	Morgan St.
Nov. 25	Md Eastern Shore	1.0%	56	88	99.0%	Arkansas
Nov. 25	Norfolk St.	28.8%	66	73	71.2%	UC Davis
Nov. 25	Howard	53.3%	78	77	46.7%	UMBC
Nov. 26	Coppin St.	2.1%	56	84	97.9%	Saint Joseph's
Nov. 27	Md Eastern Shore	10.1%	66	81	89.9%	Little Rock
Nov. 27	South Carolina St.	15.1%	68	80	84.9%	Marshall
Nov. 27	Morgan St.	27.0%	79	86	73.0%	UMBC