Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

Mountain West

Updated with games through Monday, March 17

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Mountain West Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th
1. New Mexico (46) 17 - 3 25 - 7 17.0 - 3.0 25.0 - 7.0 100.0
2. Colorado St. (48) 16 - 4 25 - 9 16.0 - 4.0 25.0 - 9.0 100.0
3. Utah St. (44) 15 - 5 25 - 7 15.0 - 5.0 25.0 - 7.0 100.0
4. San Diego St. (54) 14 - 6 20 - 9 14.0 - 6.0 20.0 - 9.0 100.0
5. Boise St. (39) 14 - 6 23 - 10 14.0 - 6.0 23.0 - 10.0 100.0
6. UNLV (95) 11 - 9 18 - 15 11.0 - 9.0 18.0 - 15.0 100.0
7. Nevada (70) 8 - 12 17 - 16 8.0 - 12.0 17.0 - 16.0 100.0
8. San Jose St. (157) 7 - 13 13 - 19 7.0 - 13.0 13.0 - 19.0 100.0
9. Wyoming (180) 5 - 15 11 - 20 5.0 - 15.0 11.0 - 20.0 100.0
10. Fresno St. (252) 2 - 18 6 - 28 2.0 - 18.0 6.0 - 28.0 100.0
11. Air Force (290) 1 - 19 4 - 28 1.0 - 19.0 4.0 - 28.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. New Mexico (46) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Colorado St. (48) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. Utah St. (44) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. San Diego St. (54) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Boise St. (39) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. UNLV (95) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Nevada (70) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. San Jose St. (157) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. Wyoming (180) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. Fresno St. (252) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. Air Force (290) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th
1. New Mexico 100.0100.0
2. Colorado St. 0.0100.0
3. Utah St. 0.0100.0
4. San Diego St. 0.0100.0
5. Boise St. 0.0100.0
6. UNLV 0.0100.0
7. Nevada 0.0100.0
8. San Jose St. 0.0100.0
9. Wyoming 0.0100.0
10. Fresno St. 0.0100.0
11. Air Force 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 18 North Carolina 61.8% 74 71 38.2% San Diego St.
Mar. 19 Loyola Chicago 45.2% 69 71 54.8% San Jose St.
Mar. 20 UCLA 59.9% 75 73 40.1% Utah St.
Mar. 21 Colorado St. 54.2% 75 74 45.8% Memphis
Mar. 21 Marquette 60.5% 79 76 39.5% New Mexico