Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

Northeast

Updated with games through Tuesday, January 27

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Northeast Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th
1. LIU Brooklyn (213) 6 - 1 12 - 8 12.7 - 3.3 18.7 - 10.3 79.314.84.41.10.30.10.0
2. Le Moyne (274) 6 - 2 10 - 10 10.7 - 5.3 14.7 - 13.3 12.540.526.912.34.82.20.70.2
3. Mercyhurst (292) 5 - 3 8 - 11 9.6 - 6.4 12.6 - 14.4 5.525.327.918.09.76.74.51.80.5
4. Central Connecticut (288) 4 - 4 8 - 9 10.3 - 7.7 14.3 - 12.7 1.811.919.826.518.410.86.43.11.20.1
5. New Haven (329) 4 - 3 6 - 11 8.3 - 8.7 10.3 - 16.7 0.53.57.913.118.419.016.014.17.10.4
6. Stonehill (334) 4 - 4 5 - 14 8.5 - 9.5 9.5 - 19.5 0.11.64.911.018.620.919.015.67.80.6
7. Fairleigh Dickinson (339) 4 - 4 4 - 14 8.4 - 9.6 8.4 - 19.6 0.11.44.311.317.719.420.016.38.80.7
8. St. Francis PA (352) 4 - 3 4 - 14 6.1 - 7.9 6.1 - 18.9 0.11.13.65.59.114.923.228.213.80.6
9. Wagner (326) 1 - 6 3 - 12 5.8 - 11.2 7.8 - 17.2 0.10.51.03.05.89.719.150.510.3
10. Chicago St. (347) 0 - 8 1 - 19 3.5 - 14.5 4.5 - 25.5 0.00.10.20.51.610.487.3
Weekly Changes
1. LIU Brooklyn (213) +9.4-5.4-2.0-1.3-0.4-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Le Moyne (274) +4.9+14.1+0.4-7.5-6.8-3.5-1.2-0.3-0.1-0.0
3. Mercyhurst (292) +2.9+15.2+9.3-5.6-6.6-6.5-4.9-2.6-0.9-0.4
4. Central Connecticut (288) -15.3-22.1-5.5+13.6+12.0+8.2+5.3+2.6+1.1+0.1
5. New Haven (329) -1.7-3.1-7.0-8.8-6.7+3.8+7.8+10.0+5.4+0.2
6. Stonehill (334) -0.2-0.2+0.3+2.3+1.4-2.5-1.8+0.3+1.3-1.0
7. Fairleigh Dickinson (339) +0.0+0.3+1.3+3.9+4.5-0.3-2.1-3.6-1.6-2.3
8. St. Francis PA (352) +0.0+1.0+2.9+3.3+2.6+1.7+2.6+5.9-7.5-12.5
9. Wagner (326) -0.0+0.0+0.2+0.2+0.4+0.1-2.5-4.2+13.2-7.5
10. Chicago St. (347) +0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.4-1.0-3.1-8.0-10.9+23.4


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th
1. LIU Brooklyn 75.087.19.32.60.80.20.10.0
2. Le Moyne 7.717.746.620.29.63.81.50.40.1
3. Mercyhurst 1.96.424.927.820.311.24.62.81.60.5
4. Central Connecticut 1.81.912.321.130.617.48.64.72.51.00.0
5. New Haven 0.50.53.58.013.218.919.516.314.75.10.3
6. Stonehill 0.10.12.15.813.819.719.816.914.17.30.3
7. Fairleigh Dickinson 0.10.11.54.613.519.918.817.715.18.30.3
8. St. Francis PA 0.10.11.13.78.112.712.319.927.813.80.6
9. Wagner 0.00.10.51.23.16.110.019.449.310.3
10. Chicago St. 0.00.00.10.20.51.910.886.5






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Jan. 29 Central Connecticut 48.3% 72 73 51.7% Wagner
Jan. 29 St. Francis PA 32.0% 71 76 68.0% Chicago St.
Jan. 29 Fairleigh Dickinson 33.5% 64 69 66.5% Stonehill
Jan. 29 New Haven 24.9% 56 63 75.1% Mercyhurst
Jan. 29 Le Moyne 22.9% 72 81 77.1% LIU Brooklyn
Jan. 31 LIU Brooklyn 53.6% 74 73 46.4% Central Connecticut
Jan. 31 Mercyhurst 58.6% 67 64 41.4% Chicago St.
Jan. 31 Fairleigh Dickinson 31.8% 70 75 68.2% Wagner
Jan. 31 Stonehill 20.0% 65 75 80.0% Le Moyne
Jan. 31 New Haven 49.9% 67 68 50.1% St. Francis PA