Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

Northeast

Updated with games through Thursday, December 11

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Northeast Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th
1. LIU Brooklyn (207) 0 - 0 5 - 4 10.2 - 3.8 16.4 - 10.6 46.322.114.47.33.82.61.81.10.50.1
2. Central Connecticut (257) 0 - 0 3 - 4 12.0 - 6.0 16.5 - 10.5 27.025.816.212.17.75.23.21.80.70.3
3. New Haven (313) 0 - 0 2 - 6 9.6 - 8.4 11.9 - 16.1 6.911.113.715.313.912.211.27.55.13.2
4. Le Moyne (316) 0 - 0 4 - 5 6.6 - 6.4 10.9 - 14.1 5.511.612.111.013.512.19.010.29.95.1
5. Wagner (317) 0 - 0 1 - 6 9.1 - 8.9 10.8 - 15.2 4.78.311.313.214.114.012.710.17.04.7
6. Mercyhurst (320) 0 - 0 2 - 6 8.0 - 8.0 11.0 - 16.0 4.59.413.413.011.210.711.911.99.44.6
7. Stonehill (331) 0 - 0 1 - 8 8.2 - 9.8 9.6 - 19.4 2.55.17.710.612.213.614.513.711.58.7
8. Chicago St. (335) 0 - 0 0 - 9 8.0 - 10.0 8.4 - 21.6 2.04.36.910.212.313.515.414.112.09.3
9. Fairleigh Dickinson (352) 0 - 0 0 - 8 6.2 - 11.8 6.3 - 21.7 0.41.22.54.46.38.912.916.320.926.2
10. St. Francis PA (358) 0 - 0 0 - 8 4.0 - 9.0 4.1 - 18.9 0.21.01.83.15.17.37.513.223.037.8
Weekly Changes
1. LIU Brooklyn (207) +9.6-1.6-1.8-1.6-1.6-1.0-1.0-0.7-0.1-0.2
2. Central Connecticut (257) -9.3+1.4+1.7+2.1+1.0+1.1+1.1+0.6+0.1+0.1
3. New Haven (313) +0.1-0.1+0.6+0.4-0.3-0.1+0.3-0.4-0.4-0.2
4. Le Moyne (316) +1.7+3.3+2.0+1.4-0.1-0.3-1.3-2.2-2.0-2.6
5. Wagner (317) +0.4+0.4+1.3-0.8+0.9+0.2+0.1-0.0-1.3-1.3
6. Mercyhurst (320) -1.5-1.3-1.0-0.3+0.6+0.6+0.3+0.8+1.3+0.4
7. Stonehill (331) +0.5+0.8+0.7+1.1+0.0+0.1-0.3+0.2-0.9-2.3
8. Chicago St. (335) -1.1-1.9-2.6-1.8-0.3-0.4+1.3+2.3+2.4+1.9
9. Fairleigh Dickinson (352) -0.0+0.3+0.7+1.1+1.8+1.5+1.2+1.2+0.3-8.1
10. St. Francis PA (358) -0.4-1.3-1.6-1.7-2.2-1.8-1.9-1.8+0.4+12.3


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th
1. LIU Brooklyn 46.346.322.114.67.94.11.91.51.00.50.1
2. Central Connecticut 25.328.627.416.311.97.14.02.71.30.60.2
3. New Haven 6.08.012.314.616.713.611.510.26.34.42.6
4. Le Moyne 5.55.511.712.211.113.812.19.110.69.94.1
5. Wagner 4.05.49.512.314.914.313.112.08.75.94.0
6. Mercyhurst 4.54.59.413.614.912.18.611.011.89.44.6
7. Stonehill 2.02.95.98.912.112.713.114.112.710.47.1
8. Chicago St. 1.82.45.08.211.812.513.514.713.110.87.9
9. Fairleigh Dickinson 0.30.51.53.15.66.99.913.215.719.424.2
10. St. Francis PA 0.20.21.11.93.25.57.37.513.722.936.7






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Dec. 13 Central Connecticut 75.1% 72 65 24.9% Binghamton
Dec. 13 Mercyhurst 7.8% 60 76 92.2% Davidson
Dec. 13 La Salle 25.3% 67 74 74.7% LIU Brooklyn
Dec. 14 Chicago St. 29.5% 72 78 70.5% Loyola Chicago
Dec. 14 St. Francis PA 6.5% 69 88 93.5% Temple
Dec. 16 Chicago St. 6.3% 64 83 93.7% Bowling Green
Dec. 16 Le Moyne 2.0% 69 95 98.0% Texas
Dec. 16 LIU Brooklyn 10.1% 68 84 89.9% Mississippi St.
Dec. 17 St. Francis PA 0.2% 54 99 99.8% Florida
Dec. 17 Md Eastern Shore 21.5% 58 66 78.5% Wagner
Dec. 17 Mercyhurst 3.7% 55 77 96.3% Syracuse
Dec. 17 Stonehill 35.5% 64 68 64.5% New Hampshire
Dec. 18 Fairfield 26.2% 67 74 73.8% Central Connecticut