Ohio Valley

Conference Projections

Big Ten tiebreaking procedures

Ohio Valley	Current Record	Projected Record	Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
	Team	Conf.	Overall	Conf.	Overall	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th	8th	9th	10th	11th
1.	Little Rock (241)	0 - 0	2 - 2	12.7 - 7.3	17.0 - 12.0	24.5	17.9	13.8	11.5	9.5	7.3	5.8	4.5	2.8	1.7	0.7
2.	Tennessee Martin (260)	0 - 0	1 - 3	11.9 - 8.1	14.4 - 13.6	17.2	15.1	13.5	11.7	10.0	9.0	7.8	6.3	4.8	3.0	1.5
3.	Southern Indiana (278)	0 - 0	1 - 4	11.3 - 8.7	13.5 - 14.5	11.8	13.5	12.6	11.8	10.9	9.9	8.5	7.6	6.1	4.6	2.5
4.	SIU Edwardsville (281)	0 - 0	3 - 3	11.2 - 8.8	15.3 - 12.7	12.5	12.3	12.4	11.5	10.8	9.9	9.0	8.0	6.3	4.8	2.4
5.	Tennessee Tech (284)	0 - 0	2 - 3	11.1 - 8.9	14.5 - 14.5	11.6	11.9	11.8	11.1	11.1	10.3	9.4	8.1	7.1	4.9	2.7
6.	Morehead St. (287)	0 - 0	1 - 3	11.0 - 9.0	13.5 - 14.5	10.8	11.2	11.4	11.7	11.1	10.9	9.3	8.1	7.3	5.4	2.7
7.	Eastern Illinois (328)	0 - 0	0 - 4	9.0 - 11.0	10.1 - 17.9	3.3	5.3	6.3	7.8	9.2	9.7	10.9	12.7	13.0	12.0	9.9
8.	Tennessee St. (332)	0 - 0	1 - 3	8.8 - 11.2	10.6 - 17.4	2.9	4.2	6.1	7.3	8.4	10.1	11.7	12.4	12.6	13.7	10.7
9.	Southeast Missouri St. (336)	0 - 0	1 - 3	8.8 - 11.2	10.6 - 17.4	2.9	4.1	5.8	7.8	8.4	9.8	10.7	11.9	13.7	14.0	10.9
10.	Western Illinois (341)	0 - 0	2 - 3	8.5 - 11.5	11.3 - 16.7	2.2	3.7	5.4	6.1	8.1	9.4	11.5	12.4	14.1	14.6	12.4
11.	Lindenwood (359)	0 - 0	1 - 4	5.8 - 14.2	7.5 - 20.5	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.8	2.5	3.6	5.4	7.9	12.3	21.2	43.6

Ohio Valley

Current Record

Projected Record

Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)

Team

Conf.

Overall

Conf.

Overall

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

10th

11th

Little Rock (241)

0 - 0

2 - 2

12.7 - 7.3

17.0 - 12.0

24.5

17.9

13.8

11.5

9.5

7.3

5.8

4.5

2.8

1.7

0.7

Tennessee Martin (260)

0 - 0

1 - 3

11.9 - 8.1

14.4 - 13.6

17.2

15.1

13.5

11.7

10.0

9.0

7.8

6.3

4.8

3.0

1.5

Southern Indiana (278)

0 - 0

1 - 4

11.3 - 8.7

13.5 - 14.5

11.8

13.5

12.6

11.8

10.9

9.9

8.5

7.6

6.1

4.6

2.5

SIU Edwardsville (281)

0 - 0

3 - 3

11.2 - 8.8

15.3 - 12.7

12.5

12.3

12.4

11.5

10.8

9.9

9.0

8.0

6.3

4.8

2.4

Tennessee Tech (284)

0 - 0

2 - 3

11.1 - 8.9

14.5 - 14.5

11.6

11.9

11.8

11.1

10.3

9.4

8.1

7.1

4.9

2.7

Morehead St. (287)

0 - 0

1 - 3

11.0 - 9.0

13.5 - 14.5

10.8

11.2

11.4

11.7

11.1

10.9

9.3

8.1

7.3

5.4

2.7

Eastern Illinois (328)

0 - 0

0 - 4

9.0 - 11.0

10.1 - 17.9

3.3

5.3

6.3

7.8

9.2

9.7

10.9

12.7

13.0

12.0

9.9

Tennessee St. (332)

0 - 0

1 - 3

8.8 - 11.2

10.6 - 17.4

2.9

4.2

6.1

7.3

8.4

10.1

11.7

12.4

12.6

13.7

10.7

Southeast Missouri St. (336)

0 - 0

1 - 3

8.8 - 11.2

10.6 - 17.4

2.9

4.1

5.8

7.8

8.4

9.8

10.7

11.9

13.7

14.0

10.9

10.

Western Illinois (341)

0 - 0

2 - 3

8.5 - 11.5

11.3 - 16.7

2.2

3.7

5.4

6.1

8.1

9.4

11.5

12.4

14.1

14.6

12.4

11.

Lindenwood (359)

0 - 0

1 - 4

5.8 - 14.2

7.5 - 20.5

0.2

0.5

1.0

1.8

2.5

3.6

5.4

7.9

12.3

21.2

43.6

	Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
	Team	Outright	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th	8th	9th	10th	11th
1.	Little Rock	20.4	29.6	19.0	13.6	10.9	8.5	6.1	5.1	3.4	2.3	1.1	0.5
2.	Tennessee Martin	13.8	21.0	16.7	13.9	11.4	9.3	8.5	6.7	5.4	4.1	2.0	1.1
3.	Southern Indiana	9.3	15.2	14.8	13.4	12.1	10.5	9.1	7.9	6.5	5.2	3.6	1.8
4.	SIU Edwardsville	9.6	15.9	13.5	13.3	11.5	10.4	9.5	8.2	7.1	5.2	3.6	1.8
5.	Tennessee Tech	9.2	14.5	13.9	12.5	11.6	10.7	9.9	8.6	6.9	5.6	3.9	1.9
6.	Morehead St.	8.5	13.8	13.2	12.0	11.4	11.5	10.1	8.8	7.1	6.1	4.0	1.9
7.	Eastern Illinois	2.3	4.4	6.5	7.6	8.8	9.3	10.5	10.7	11.9	11.9	10.7	7.5
8.	Tennessee St.	2.0	4.1	5.5	7.0	8.2	8.9	11.2	11.2	11.7	12.2	12.0	8.0
9.	Southeast Missouri St.	2.1	4.0	5.2	7.0	8.5	8.9	10.4	11.0	11.7	12.8	12.1	8.5
10.	Western Illinois	1.6	3.0	5.0	6.3	6.8	9.0	10.4	11.3	12.2	13.0	13.0	9.9
11.	Lindenwood	0.2	0.4	0.9	1.3	2.1	3.1	4.2	6.5	8.9	13.2	21.2	38.2

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)

Team

Outright

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

10th

11th

Little Rock

20.4

29.6

19.0

13.6

10.9

8.5

6.1

5.1

3.4

2.3

1.1

0.5

Tennessee Martin

13.8

21.0

16.7

13.9

11.4

9.3

8.5

6.7

5.4

4.1

2.0

1.1

Southern Indiana

9.3

15.2

14.8

13.4

12.1

10.5

9.1

7.9

6.5

5.2

3.6

1.8

SIU Edwardsville

9.6

15.9

13.5

13.3

11.5

10.4

9.5

8.2

7.1

5.2

3.6

1.8

Tennessee Tech

9.2

14.5

13.9

12.5

11.6

10.7

9.9

8.6

6.9

5.6

3.9

1.9

Morehead St.

8.5

13.8

13.2

12.0

11.4

11.5

10.1

8.8

7.1

6.1

4.0

1.9

Eastern Illinois

2.3

4.4

6.5

7.6

8.8

9.3

10.5

10.7

11.9

10.7

7.5

Tennessee St.

2.0

4.1

5.5

7.0

8.2

8.9

11.2

11.7

12.2

12.0

8.0

Southeast Missouri St.

2.1

4.0

5.2

7.0

8.5

8.9

10.4

11.0

11.7

12.8

12.1

8.5

10.

Western Illinois

1.6

3.0

5.0

6.3

6.8

9.0

10.4

11.3

12.2

13.0

9.9

11.

Lindenwood

0.2

0.4

0.9

1.3

2.1

3.1

4.2

6.5

8.9

13.2

21.2

38.2

This Week's Games

Date	Away	W Prob, Pred Score				Home
Nov. 22	Little Rock	4.7%	65	86	95.3%	Arkansas
Nov. 22	Tennessee Martin	70.2%	81	75	29.8%	Le Moyne
Nov. 22	Southeast Missouri St.	22.9%	70	79	77.1%	UNC Asheville
Nov. 22	South Dakota	42.9%	74	77	57.1%	Southern Indiana
Nov. 24	Eastern Illinois	25.1%	66	74	74.9%	Valparaiso
Nov. 25	Little Rock	5.4%	70	91	94.6%	Illinois
Nov. 25	Tennessee St.	13.8%	67	80	86.2%	Chattanooga
Nov. 25	Indiana St.	51.6%	73	72	48.4%	Southern Indiana
Nov. 26	Tennessee St.	18.2%	70	81	81.8%	Bryant
Nov. 26	Western Illinois	14.3%	59	71	85.7%	South Alabama
Nov. 27	Md Eastern Shore	10.1%	66	81	89.9%	Little Rock
Nov. 27	Western Illinois	42.0%	67	69	58.0%	Incarnate Word
Nov. 27	Lindenwood	0.8%	60	93	99.2%	Missouri
Nov. 27	NJIT	20.7%	61	69	79.3%	Morehead St.
Nov. 27	Presbyterian	32.5%	70	75	67.5%	Tennessee Tech
Nov. 27	Tennessee Martin	0.7%	60	96	99.3%	Tennessee