Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

Sun Belt

Updated with games through Monday, March 17

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Sun Belt Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th
1. South Alabama (133) 13 - 5 19 - 11 13.0 - 5.0 19.0 - 11.0 100.0
2. Troy (99) 13 - 5 21 - 10 13.0 - 5.0 21.0 - 10.0 100.0
3. James Madison (166) 13 - 5 18 - 12 13.0 - 5.0 18.0 - 12.0 100.0
4. Arkansas St. (97) 13 - 5 23 - 10 13.0 - 5.0 23.0 - 10.0 100.0
5. Marshall (182) 12 - 6 18 - 13 12.0 - 6.0 18.0 - 13.0 100.0
6. Appalachian St. (170) 10 - 8 15 - 14 10.0 - 8.0 15.0 - 14.0 100.0
7. Texas St. (201) 9 - 9 14 - 16 9.0 - 9.0 14.0 - 16.0 100.0
8. Georgia St. (261) 8 - 10 13 - 19 8.0 - 10.0 13.0 - 19.0 100.0
9. Georgia Southern (264) 8 - 10 16 - 16 8.0 - 10.0 16.0 - 16.0 100.0
10. Old Dominion (314) 8 - 10 13 - 20 8.0 - 10.0 13.0 - 20.0 100.0
11. Louisiana Lafayette (327) 8 - 10 11 - 21 8.0 - 10.0 11.0 - 21.0 100.0
12. Southern Miss (303) 5 - 13 9 - 22 5.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 22.0 100.0
13. Coastal Carolina (316) 3 - 15 8 - 22 3.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 22.0 100.0
14. Louisiana Monroe (351) 3 - 15 5 - 25 3.0 - 15.0 5.0 - 25.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. South Alabama (133) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Troy (99) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. James Madison (166) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. Arkansas St. (97) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Marshall (182) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. Appalachian St. (170) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Texas St. (201) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. Georgia St. (261) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. Georgia Southern (264) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. Old Dominion (314) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. Louisiana Lafayette (327) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
12. Southern Miss (303) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
13. Coastal Carolina (316) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
14. Louisiana Monroe (351) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th
1. South Alabama 0.0100.0
2. Troy 0.0100.0
3. James Madison 0.0100.0
4. Arkansas St. 0.0100.0
5. Marshall 0.0100.0
6. Appalachian St. 0.0100.0
7. Texas St. 0.0100.0
8. Georgia St. 0.0100.0
9. Georgia Southern 0.0100.0
10. Old Dominion 0.0100.0
11. Louisiana Lafayette 0.0100.0
12. Southern Miss 0.0100.0
13. Coastal Carolina 0.0100.0
14. Louisiana Monroe 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 18 Saint Louis 34.2% 72 77 65.8% Arkansas St.
Mar. 21 Kentucky 88.6% 84 69 11.4% Troy