Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

SEC

Updated with games through Friday, March 13

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

SEC Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th
1. Florida (4) 17 - 2 26 - 6 17.0 - 2.0 26.0 - 6.0 100.0
2. Arkansas (16) 14 - 5 24 - 8 14.0 - 5.0 24.0 - 8.0 100.0
3. Alabama (15) 13 - 6 23 - 9 13.0 - 6.0 23.0 - 9.0 100.0
4. Vanderbilt (13) 12 - 7 25 - 7 12.0 - 7.0 25.0 - 7.0 100.0
5. Tennessee (18) 12 - 8 22 - 11 12.0 - 8.0 22.0 - 11.0 100.0
6. Texas A&M (44) 11 - 8 21 - 11 11.0 - 8.0 21.0 - 11.0 100.0
7. Kentucky (28) 12 - 9 21 - 13 12.0 - 9.0 21.0 - 13.0 100.0
8. Georgia (31) 10 - 9 22 - 10 10.0 - 9.0 22.0 - 10.0 100.0
9. Missouri (57) 10 - 9 20 - 12 10.0 - 9.0 20.0 - 12.0 100.0
10. Texas (39) 9 - 10 17 - 14 9.0 - 10.0 17.0 - 14.0 100.0
11. Oklahoma (45) 9 - 12 19 - 15 9.0 - 12.0 19.0 - 15.0 100.0
12. Auburn (36) 8 - 12 17 - 16 8.0 - 12.0 17.0 - 16.0 100.0
13. Mississippi (80) 7 - 14 15 - 19 7.0 - 14.0 15.0 - 19.0 100.0
14. Mississippi St. (110) 5 - 14 13 - 19 5.0 - 14.0 13.0 - 19.0 100.0
15. South Carolina (103) 4 - 15 13 - 19 4.0 - 15.0 13.0 - 19.0 100.0
16. LSU (63) 3 - 16 15 - 17 3.0 - 16.0 15.0 - 17.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. Florida (4) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Arkansas (16) +0.0+84.9-84.9+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. Alabama (15) +0.0-84.9+84.9+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. Vanderbilt (13) +0.0+0.0+0.0+84.4-16.2-13.6-7.8-23.5-11.1-12.2+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Tennessee (18) +0.0+0.0+0.0-64.2+84.4-16.2-3.9+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. Texas A&M (44) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-19.2+82.8-23.8-11.2-24.3-4.3+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Kentucky (28) +0.0+0.0+0.0-8.0-11.6-10.7+90.5-10.3-23.8-26.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. Georgia (31) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-11.9-24.0+78.8-16.7-26.2+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. Missouri (57) +0.0+0.0+0.0-12.1-37.3-11.3-10.1-15.1+90.4-4.5+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. Texas (39) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-19.1-21.1-18.7-14.5+73.3+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. Oklahoma (45) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+82.0-62.2-19.8+0.0+0.0+0.0
12. Auburn (36) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-82.0+82.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
13. Mississippi (80) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+46.9-18.8-12.7-15.4
14. Mississippi St. (110) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-19.8-27.1+46.9+0.0+0.0
15. South Carolina (103) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-12.7+84.6-71.9
16. LSU (63) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-15.4-71.9+87.3


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th
1. Florida 100.0100.0
2. Arkansas 0.0100.0
3. Alabama 0.0100.0
4. Vanderbilt 0.0100.0
5. Tennessee 0.0100.0
6. Texas A&M 0.0100.0
7. Kentucky 0.0100.0
8. Georgia 0.0100.0
9. Missouri 0.0100.0
10. Texas 0.0100.0
11. Oklahoma 0.0100.0
12. Auburn 0.0100.0
13. Mississippi 0.0100.0
14. Mississippi St. 0.0100.0
15. South Carolina 0.0100.0
16. LSU 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 14 Arkansas 84.9% 87 74 15.1% Mississippi
Mar. 14 Florida 67.4% 85 80 32.6% Vanderbilt