Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

SEC

Updated with games through Monday, March 17

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

SEC Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th
1. Auburn (2) 15 - 3 28 - 5 15.0 - 3.0 28.0 - 5.0 100.0
2. Florida (4) 14 - 4 30 - 4 14.0 - 4.0 30.0 - 4.0 100.0
3. Alabama (5) 13 - 5 25 - 8 13.0 - 5.0 25.0 - 8.0 100.0
4. Tennessee (6) 12 - 6 27 - 7 12.0 - 6.0 27.0 - 7.0 100.0
5. Texas A&M (24) 11 - 7 22 - 10 11.0 - 7.0 22.0 - 10.0 100.0
6. Kentucky (12) 10 - 8 22 - 11 10.0 - 8.0 22.0 - 11.0 100.0
7. Missouri (17) 10 - 8 22 - 11 10.0 - 8.0 22.0 - 11.0 100.0
8. Mississippi (31) 10 - 8 22 - 11 10.0 - 8.0 22.0 - 11.0 100.0
9. Arkansas (42) 8 - 10 20 - 13 8.0 - 10.0 20.0 - 13.0 100.0
10. Mississippi St. (35) 8 - 10 21 - 12 8.0 - 10.0 21.0 - 12.0 100.0
11. Georgia (30) 8 - 10 20 - 12 8.0 - 10.0 20.0 - 12.0 100.0
12. Vanderbilt (52) 8 - 10 20 - 12 8.0 - 10.0 20.0 - 12.0 100.0
13. Texas (37) 6 - 12 19 - 15 6.0 - 12.0 19.0 - 15.0 100.0
14. Oklahoma (43) 6 - 12 20 - 13 6.0 - 12.0 20.0 - 13.0 100.0
15. LSU (77) 3 - 15 14 - 18 3.0 - 15.0 14.0 - 18.0 100.0
16. South Carolina (86) 2 - 16 12 - 20 2.0 - 16.0 12.0 - 20.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. Auburn (2) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Florida (4) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. Alabama (5) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. Tennessee (6) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Texas A&M (24) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. Kentucky (12) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+100.0-100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Missouri (17) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-100.0+100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. Mississippi (31) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. Arkansas (42) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. Mississippi St. (35) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. Georgia (30) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
12. Vanderbilt (52) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
13. Texas (37) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
14. Oklahoma (43) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
15. LSU (77) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
16. South Carolina (86) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th
1. Auburn 100.0100.0
2. Florida 0.0100.0
3. Alabama 0.0100.0
4. Tennessee 0.0100.0
5. Texas A&M 0.0100.0
6. Kentucky 0.0100.0
7. Missouri 0.0100.0
8. Mississippi 0.0100.0
9. Arkansas 0.0100.0
10. Mississippi St. 0.0100.0
11. Georgia 0.0100.0
12. Vanderbilt 0.0100.0
13. Texas 0.0100.0
14. Oklahoma 0.0100.0
15. LSU 0.0100.0
16. South Carolina 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 19 Texas 56.5% 78 76 43.5% Xavier
Mar. 20 Georgia 31.7% 74 80 68.3% Gonzaga
Mar. 20 Arkansas 36.3% 71 75 63.7% Kansas
Mar. 20 Drake 25.2% 64 70 74.8% Missouri
Mar. 20 Tennessee 95.3% 76 57 4.7% Wofford
Mar. 20 Texas A&M 80.7% 77 67 19.3% Yale
Mar. 21 Baylor 59.6% 76 73 40.4% Mississippi St.
Mar. 21 Florida 98.4% 91 63 1.6% Norfolk St.
Mar. 21 Connecticut 59.8% 76 74 40.2% Oklahoma
Mar. 21 Alabama 96.5% 97 71 3.5% Robert Morris
Mar. 21 Kentucky 88.6% 84 69 11.4% Troy
Mar. 21 Saint Mary's 67.5% 72 68 32.5% Vanderbilt