Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

Southwest

Updated with games through Monday, March 17

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Southwest Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th
1. Southern (233) 15 - 3 17 - 12 15.0 - 3.0 17.0 - 12.0 100.0
2. Jackson St. (268) 14 - 4 16 - 18 14.0 - 4.0 16.0 - 18.0 100.0
3. Bethune Cookman (281) 13 - 5 17 - 16 13.0 - 5.0 17.0 - 16.0 100.0
4. Alabama St. (287) 12 - 6 18 - 15 12.0 - 6.0 18.0 - 15.0 100.0
5. Texas Southern (283) 12 - 6 12 - 17 12.0 - 6.0 12.0 - 17.0 100.0
6. Alcorn St. (329) 11 - 7 11 - 20 11.0 - 7.0 11.0 - 20.0 100.0
7. Florida A&M (326) 10 - 8 11 - 17 10.0 - 8.0 11.0 - 17.0 100.0
8. Grambling St. (317) 7 - 11 8 - 22 7.0 - 11.0 8.0 - 22.0 100.0
9. Alabama A&M (358) 6 - 12 7 - 21 6.0 - 12.0 7.0 - 21.0 100.0
10. Prairie View A&M (354) 4 - 14 4 - 26 4.0 - 14.0 4.0 - 26.0 100.0
11. Arkansas Pine Bluff (363) 3 - 15 4 - 25 3.0 - 15.0 4.0 - 25.0 100.0
12. Mississippi Valley St. (364) 1 - 17 1 - 28 1.0 - 17.0 1.0 - 28.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. Southern (233) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Jackson St. (268) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. Bethune Cookman (281) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. Alabama St. (287) +0.0+0.0+0.0+100.0-100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Texas Southern (283) +0.0+0.0+0.0-100.0+100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. Alcorn St. (329) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Florida A&M (326) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. Grambling St. (317) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. Alabama A&M (358) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. Prairie View A&M (354) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. Arkansas Pine Bluff (363) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
12. Mississippi Valley St. (364) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th
1. Southern 100.0100.0
2. Jackson St. 0.0100.0
3. Bethune Cookman 0.0100.0
4. Alabama St. 0.0100.0
5. Texas Southern 0.0100.0
6. Alcorn St. 0.0100.0
7. Florida A&M 0.0100.0
8. Grambling St. 0.0100.0
9. Alabama A&M 0.0100.0
10. Prairie View A&M 0.0100.0
11. Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0100.0
12. Mississippi Valley St. 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 18 Alabama St. 56.9% 74 72 43.1% St. Francis PA