Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

Southland

Updated with games through Monday, March 17

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Southland Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th
1. McNeese St. (62) 19 - 1 24 - 6 19.0 - 1.0 24.0 - 6.0 100.0
2. Lamar (175) 14 - 6 16 - 13 14.0 - 6.0 16.0 - 13.0 100.0
3. Nicholls St. (158) 13 - 7 17 - 12 13.0 - 7.0 17.0 - 12.0 100.0
4. Tex A&M Corpus Chris (161) 12 - 8 16 - 14 12.0 - 8.0 16.0 - 14.0 100.0
5. Northwestern St. (216) 12 - 8 14 - 15 12.0 - 8.0 14.0 - 15.0 100.0
6. Southeastern Louisiana (205) 12 - 8 16 - 14 12.0 - 8.0 16.0 - 14.0 100.0
7. Incarnate Word (238) 9 - 11 13 - 16 9.0 - 11.0 13.0 - 16.0 100.0
8. Houston Baptist (273) 9 - 11 10 - 20 9.0 - 11.0 10.0 - 20.0 100.0
9. UT Rio Grande Valley (245) 8 - 12 12 - 15 8.0 - 12.0 12.0 - 15.0 100.0
10. Stephen F. Austin (258) 7 - 13 11 - 17 7.0 - 13.0 11.0 - 17.0 100.0
11. Texas A&M Commerce (330) 3 - 17 5 - 26 3.0 - 17.0 5.0 - 26.0 100.0
12. New Orleans (335) 2 - 18 4 - 27 2.0 - 18.0 4.0 - 27.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. McNeese St. (62) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Lamar (175) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. Nicholls St. (158) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. Tex A&M Corpus Chris (161) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Northwestern St. (216) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. Southeastern Louisiana (205) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Incarnate Word (238) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. Houston Baptist (273) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. UT Rio Grande Valley (245) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. Stephen F. Austin (258) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. Texas A&M Commerce (330) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
12. New Orleans (335) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th
1. McNeese St. 100.0100.0
2. Lamar 0.0100.0
3. Nicholls St. 0.0100.0
4. Tex A&M Corpus Chris 0.0100.0
5. Northwestern St. 0.0100.0
6. Southeastern Louisiana 0.0100.0
7. Incarnate Word 0.0100.0
8. Houston Baptist 0.0100.0
9. UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0100.0
10. Stephen F. Austin 0.0100.0
11. Texas A&M Commerce 0.0100.0
12. New Orleans 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 20 Clemson 71.5% 70 64 28.5% McNeese St.
Mar. 23 Incarnate Word 57.0% 75 73 43.0% Manhattan