Summit

Conference Projections

Big Ten tiebreaking procedures

Summit	Current Record	Projected Record	Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
	Team	Conf.	Overall	Conf.	Overall	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th	8th	9th
1.	St. Thomas MN (130)	0 - 0	6 - 4	11.4 - 4.6	18.7 - 9.3	37.8	26.4	16.9	10.1	5.1	2.2	1.0	0.5	0.1
2.	South Dakota St. (144)	0 - 0	4 - 5	11.0 - 5.0	16.0 - 12.0	28.9	26.0	19.8	12.3	6.6	3.8	1.5	0.8	0.3
3.	North Dakota St. (153)	0 - 0	6 - 3	10.5 - 5.5	17.1 - 9.9	21.8	23.9	21.4	14.3	8.9	5.2	2.6	1.3	0.5
4.	Denver (197)	0 - 0	3 - 6	8.7 - 7.3	12.7 - 15.3	6.8	11.2	16.9	19.7	16.5	12.2	8.8	5.1	2.7
5.	Nebraska Omaha (243)	0 - 0	2 - 7	7.5 - 8.5	10.0 - 17.0	2.5	5.7	10.2	15.4	18.3	17.5	14.0	10.2	6.0
6.	South Dakota (280)	0 - 0	4 - 6	6.5 - 9.5	11.3 - 16.7	1.0	2.7	5.8	10.3	14.8	17.9	18.4	16.9	12.1
7.	Oral Roberts (282)	0 - 0	2 - 7	6.4 - 9.6	9.1 - 18.9	0.9	2.9	5.3	9.5	14.5	17.8	18.9	16.6	13.7
8.	North Dakota (312)	0 - 0	2 - 8	5.2 - 10.8	8.3 - 20.7	0.2	0.8	2.1	4.9	8.8	13.0	18.1	24.4	27.7
9.	UMKC (315)	0 - 0	0 - 9	4.8 - 11.2	5.1 - 22.9	0.1	0.5	1.6	3.5	6.4	10.2	16.7	24.1	36.9
Weekly Changes
1.	St. Thomas MN (130)		+6.9	+0.3	-2.5	-1.4	-1.3	-1.0	-0.7	-0.3	-0.1
2.	South Dakota St. (144)		-7.9	-1.3	+2.7	+2.6	+1.6	+1.2	+0.3	+0.4	+0.2
3.	North Dakota St. (153)		+1.3	+1.0	-0.6	-0.9	-0.4	-0.2	-0.2	+0.0	+0.1
4.	Denver (197)		+0.1	-0.4	-0.1	-0.3	-0.6	+0.3	+0.5	+0.2	+0.2
5.	Nebraska Omaha (243)		-0.2	+0.2	+0.5	+0.7	+0.7	-0.2	-0.2	-0.5	-1.1
6.	South Dakota (280)		-0.2	+0.0	-0.1	-0.3	+0.6	+0.1	+0.1	+0.7	-1.0
7.	Oral Roberts (282)		+0.1	+0.4	+0.4	+0.3	+0.6	+0.5	+0.4	-1.5	-1.2
8.	North Dakota (312)		+0.1	+0.2	+0.3	+0.4	+1.2	+1.8	+0.4	-0.1	-4.4
9.	UMKC (315)		-0.2	-0.4	-0.6	-1.2	-2.3	-2.6	-0.8	+0.9	+7.3

Summit

Current Record

Projected Record

Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)

Team

Conf.

Overall

Conf.

Overall

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

St. Thomas MN (130)

0 - 0

6 - 4

11.4 - 4.6

18.7 - 9.3

37.8

26.4

16.9

10.1

5.1

2.2

1.0

0.5

0.1

South Dakota St. (144)

0 - 0

4 - 5

11.0 - 5.0

16.0 - 12.0

28.9

26.0

19.8

12.3

6.6

3.8

1.5

0.8

0.3

North Dakota St. (153)

0 - 0

6 - 3

10.5 - 5.5

17.1 - 9.9

21.8

23.9

21.4

14.3

8.9

5.2

2.6

1.3

0.5

Denver (197)

0 - 0

3 - 6

8.7 - 7.3

12.7 - 15.3

6.8

11.2

16.9

19.7

16.5

12.2

8.8

5.1

2.7

Nebraska Omaha (243)

0 - 0

2 - 7

7.5 - 8.5

10.0 - 17.0

2.5

5.7

10.2

15.4

18.3

17.5

14.0

10.2

6.0

South Dakota (280)

0 - 0

4 - 6

6.5 - 9.5

11.3 - 16.7

1.0

2.7

5.8

10.3

14.8

17.9

18.4

16.9

12.1

Oral Roberts (282)

0 - 0

2 - 7

6.4 - 9.6

9.1 - 18.9

0.9

2.9

5.3

9.5

14.5

17.8

18.9

16.6

13.7

North Dakota (312)

0 - 0

2 - 8

5.2 - 10.8

8.3 - 20.7

0.2

0.8

2.1

4.9

8.8

13.0

18.1

24.4

27.7

UMKC (315)

0 - 0

0 - 9

4.8 - 11.2

5.1 - 22.9

0.1

0.5

1.6

3.5

6.4

10.2

16.7

24.1

36.9

Weekly Changes

St. Thomas MN (130)

+6.9

+0.3

-2.5

-1.4

-1.3

-1.0

-0.7

-0.3

-0.1

South Dakota St. (144)

-7.9

-1.3

+2.7

+2.6

+1.6

+1.2

+0.3

+0.4

+0.2

North Dakota St. (153)

+1.3

+1.0

-0.6

-0.9

-0.4

-0.2

+0.0

+0.1

Denver (197)

+0.1

-0.4

-0.1

-0.3

-0.6

+0.3

+0.5

+0.2

Nebraska Omaha (243)

-0.2

+0.2

+0.5

+0.7

-0.2

-0.5

-1.1

South Dakota (280)

-0.2

+0.0

-0.1

-0.3

+0.6

+0.1

+0.7

-1.0

Oral Roberts (282)

+0.1

+0.4

+0.3

+0.6

+0.5

+0.4

-1.5

-1.2

North Dakota (312)

+0.1

+0.2

+0.3

+0.4

+1.2

+1.8

+0.4

-0.1

-4.4

UMKC (315)

-0.2

-0.4

-0.6

-1.2

-2.3

-2.6

-0.8

+0.9

+7.3

	Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
	Team	Outright	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	6th	7th	8th	9th
1.	St. Thomas MN	31.1	44.8	25.8	15.0	7.9	3.9	1.7	0.6	0.3	0.0
2.	South Dakota St.	23.5	36.3	26.2	17.7	10.3	5.1	2.6	1.1	0.5	0.2
3.	North Dakota St.	16.5	27.3	25.3	20.3	12.7	7.3	4.0	1.9	0.8	0.3
4.	Denver	4.7	9.4	13.9	18.2	20.1	15.4	10.8	7.0	3.9	1.5
5.	Nebraska Omaha	1.6	3.8	7.3	12.3	17.1	18.7	16.6	11.8	8.3	4.1
6.	South Dakota	0.6	1.6	3.8	7.1	12.3	16.3	18.4	17.3	14.1	9.1
7.	Oral Roberts	0.6	1.4	4.1	6.5	11.7	15.8	18.4	17.6	14.5	10.0
8.	North Dakota	0.1	0.4	1.1	3.2	6.5	10.1	14.9	19.1	22.8	21.9
9.	UMKC	0.1	0.2	0.9	2.1	4.4	8.2	12.4	17.9	24.0	29.9

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)

Team

Outright

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

St. Thomas MN

31.1

44.8

25.8

15.0

7.9

3.9

1.7

0.6

0.3

0.0

South Dakota St.

23.5

36.3

26.2

17.7

10.3

5.1

2.6

1.1

0.5

0.2

North Dakota St.

16.5

27.3

25.3

20.3

12.7

7.3

4.0

1.9

0.8

0.3

Denver

4.7

9.4

13.9

18.2

20.1

15.4

10.8

7.0

3.9

1.5

Nebraska Omaha

1.6

3.8

7.3

12.3

17.1

18.7

16.6

11.8

8.3

4.1

South Dakota

0.6

1.6

3.8

7.1

12.3

16.3

18.4

17.3

14.1

9.1

Oral Roberts

0.6

1.4

4.1

6.5

11.7

15.8

18.4

17.6

14.5

10.0

North Dakota

0.1

0.4

1.1

3.2

6.5

10.1

14.9

19.1

22.8

21.9

UMKC

0.1

0.2

0.9

2.1

4.4

8.2

12.4

17.9

24.0

29.9

This Week's Games

Date	Away	W Prob, Pred Score				Home
Dec. 13	Cal St. Fullerton	30.6%	83	89	69.4%	Denver
Dec. 13	North Dakota St.	28.3%	67	73	71.7%	Drake
Dec. 13	St. Thomas MN	50.0%	75	74	50.0%	UNC Asheville
Dec. 13	Western Illinois	16.7%	67	78	83.3%	North Dakota
Dec. 13	Prairie View A&M	25.1%	80	89	74.9%	South Dakota
Dec. 15	Wyoming	69.4%	77	71	30.6%	South Dakota St.
Dec. 16	UMKC	2.3%	60	86	97.7%	Oklahoma
Dec. 16	Oral Roberts	25.3%	69	77	74.7%	Missouri St.
Dec. 18	UMKC	3.0%	62	88	97.0%	Oklahoma St.
Dec. 18	Winthrop	79.9%	86	76	20.1%	North Dakota
Dec. 18	Oral Roberts	3.3%	61	85	96.7%	TCU