Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

Summit

Updated with games through Monday, March 17

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Summit Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th
1. Nebraska Omaha (153) 13 - 3 20 - 12 13.0 - 3.0 20.0 - 12.0 100.0
2. St. Thomas MN (117) 12 - 4 21 - 10 12.0 - 4.0 21.0 - 10.0 100.0
3. South Dakota St. (122) 11 - 5 17 - 12 11.0 - 5.0 17.0 - 12.0 100.0
4. North Dakota St. (126) 10 - 6 18 - 11 10.0 - 6.0 18.0 - 11.0 100.0
5. South Dakota (224) 9 - 7 16 - 14 9.0 - 7.0 16.0 - 14.0 100.0
6. North Dakota (265) 5 - 11 9 - 21 5.0 - 11.0 9.0 - 21.0 100.0
7. Denver (288) 5 - 11 8 - 21 5.0 - 11.0 8.0 - 21.0 100.0
8. UMKC (218) 4 - 12 9 - 20 4.0 - 12.0 9.0 - 20.0 100.0
9. Oral Roberts (323) 3 - 13 4 - 22 3.0 - 13.0 4.0 - 22.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. Nebraska Omaha (153) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. St. Thomas MN (117) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. South Dakota St. (122) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. North Dakota St. (126) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. South Dakota (224) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. North Dakota (265) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Denver (288) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. UMKC (218) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. Oral Roberts (323) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th
1. Nebraska Omaha 100.0100.0
2. St. Thomas MN 0.0100.0
3. South Dakota St. 0.0100.0
4. North Dakota St. 0.0100.0
5. South Dakota 0.0100.0
6. North Dakota 0.0100.0
7. Denver 0.0100.0
8. UMKC 0.0100.0
9. Oral Roberts 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 20 Nebraska Omaha 7.2% 66 84 92.8% St. John's