Western
Updated with games through Tuesday, January 27
Conference Projections
Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the
Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.
| Western |
Current Record |
Projected Record |
Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers) |
|
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Conf. |
Overall |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th |
| 1. |
Utah Valley (100) |
5 - 3 |
12 - 6 |
12.2 - 5.8 |
19.2 - 8.8 |
49.1 | 29.8 | 16.2 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | |
| 2. |
California Baptist (122) |
5 - 3 |
15 - 6 |
11.7 - 6.3 |
21.7 - 9.3 |
24.0 | 34.2 | 35.1 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | |
| 3. |
UT Arlington (131) |
5 - 2 |
11 - 6 |
11.5 - 6.5 |
17.5 - 10.5 |
25.9 | 31.8 | 32.0 | 8.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 4. |
Utah Tech (191) |
4 - 4 |
8 - 11 |
8.4 - 9.6 |
12.4 - 16.6 |
0.8 | 3.0 | 10.5 | 44.5 | 26.0 | 13.1 | 2.1 |
| 5. |
Tarleton St. (176) |
2 - 5 |
7 - 9 |
7.0 - 10.0 |
12.0 - 14.0 |
0.1 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 24.7 | 35.1 | 24.9 | 9.9 |
| 6. |
Abilene Christian (244) |
2 - 4 |
7 - 9 |
6.0 - 11.0 |
11.0 - 16.0 |
0.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 11.6 | 26.1 | 37.5 | 22.8 |
| 7. |
Southern Utah (294) |
3 - 5 |
4 - 14 |
5.3 - 12.7 |
6.3 - 21.7 |
| 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 9.1 | 23.7 | 65.2 |
Weekly Changes |
| 1. |
Utah Valley (100) |
|
-32.5 | +16.2 | +12.3 | +3.1 | +0.7 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
| 2. |
California Baptist (122) |
|
+16.0 | +0.7 | -3.9 | -8.1 | -4.2 | -0.5 | -0.1 |
| 3. |
UT Arlington (131) |
|
+16.5 | -11.5 | +3.4 | -4.8 | -2.9 | -0.7 | +0.0 |
| 4. |
Utah Tech (191) |
|
+0.2 | -1.4 | -1.6 | +10.1 | -7.2 | -0.5 | +0.4 |
| 5. |
Tarleton St. (176) |
|
-0.2 | -4.0 | -9.7 | -3.1 | +3.8 | +7.5 | +5.8 |
| 6. |
Abilene Christian (244) |
|
+0.0 | -0.0 | -0.5 | +1.7 | +4.3 | -10.8 | +5.3 |
| 7. |
Southern Utah (294) |
|
+0.0 | +0.0 | +0.1 | +0.9 | +5.4 | +5.0 | -11.4 |
This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.
