Western
Updated with games through Thursday, December 11
Conference Projections
Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the
Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.
| Western |
Current Record |
Projected Record |
Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers) |
|
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Conf. |
Overall |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th |
| 1. |
Utah Valley (78) |
0 - 0 |
5 - 3 |
14.4 - 3.6 |
21.0 - 7.0 |
68.0 | 22.3 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | |
| 2. |
California Baptist (110) |
0 - 0 |
7 - 3 |
12.4 - 5.6 |
21.7 - 9.3 |
23.2 | 43.4 | 20.5 | 8.2 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| 3. |
UT Arlington (160) |
0 - 0 |
5 - 3 |
9.9 - 8.1 |
15.7 - 12.3 |
4.8 | 18.1 | 30.1 | 22.9 | 14.7 | 8.4 | 1.0 |
| 4. |
Tarleton St. (185) |
0 - 0 |
3 - 4 |
8.8 - 9.2 |
13.6 - 13.4 |
2.6 | 9.5 | 20.8 | 28.0 | 22.2 | 14.1 | 2.9 |
| 5. |
Utah Tech (223) |
0 - 0 |
3 - 6 |
7.6 - 10.4 |
10.9 - 18.1 |
1.0 | 4.1 | 12.3 | 20.4 | 27.9 | 28.7 | 5.5 |
| 6. |
Abilene Christian (251) |
0 - 0 |
4 - 3 |
7.0 - 11.0 |
11.5 - 16.5 |
0.4 | 2.5 | 9.3 | 17.2 | 27.6 | 35.3 | 7.8 |
| 7. |
Southern Utah (342) |
0 - 0 |
1 - 7 |
2.9 - 15.1 |
4.1 - 23.9 |
| 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 12.3 | 82.8 |
Weekly Changes |
| 1. |
Utah Valley (78) |
|
+12.0 | -5.5 | -3.4 | -1.9 | -1.0 | -0.2 | -0.0 |
| 2. |
California Baptist (110) |
|
-8.5 | +4.9 | +3.4 | +0.3 | -0.2 | +0.2 | -0.1 |
| 3. |
UT Arlington (160) |
|
-0.1 | +5.7 | +6.5 | -1.3 | -5.4 | -4.4 | -0.9 |
| 4. |
Tarleton St. (185) |
|
-2.1 | -2.6 | -3.7 | +2.6 | +2.7 | +2.2 | +0.8 |
| 5. |
Utah Tech (223) |
|
-1.2 | -2.2 | -3.6 | -0.7 | +1.3 | +5.0 | +1.3 |
| 6. |
Abilene Christian (251) |
|
-0.2 | -0.2 | +0.8 | +1.0 | +2.3 | -1.9 | -1.8 |
| 7. |
Southern Utah (342) |
|
+0.0 | +0.0 | -0.1 | +0.0 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +0.6 |
This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.
