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Western

Updated with games through Monday, March 17

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Western Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th
1. Utah Valley (102) 15 - 1 23 - 8 15.0 - 1.0 23.0 - 8.0 100.0
2. Grand Canyon (93) 13 - 3 25 - 7 13.0 - 3.0 25.0 - 7.0 100.0
3. California Baptist (171) 9 - 7 18 - 15 9.0 - 7.0 18.0 - 15.0 100.0
4. Seattle (147) 8 - 8 12 - 18 8.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 18.0 100.0
5. Abilene Christian (226) 8 - 8 13 - 16 8.0 - 8.0 13.0 - 16.0 100.0
6. Tarleton St. (298) 7 - 9 9 - 20 7.0 - 9.0 9.0 - 20.0 100.0
7. UT Arlington (223) 6 - 10 11 - 18 6.0 - 10.0 11.0 - 18.0 100.0
8. Southern Utah (296) 4 - 12 9 - 18 4.0 - 12.0 9.0 - 18.0 100.0
9. Dixie St. (284) 2 - 14 4 - 26 2.0 - 14.0 4.0 - 26.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. Utah Valley (102) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Grand Canyon (93) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. California Baptist (171) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. Seattle (147) +0.0+0.0+0.0+100.0-100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Abilene Christian (226) +0.0+0.0+0.0-100.0+100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. Tarleton St. (298) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. UT Arlington (223) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. Southern Utah (296) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. Dixie St. (284) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th
1. Utah Valley 100.0100.0
2. Grand Canyon 0.0100.0
3. California Baptist 0.0100.0
4. Seattle 0.0100.0
5. Abilene Christian 0.0100.0
6. Tarleton St. 0.0100.0
7. UT Arlington 0.0100.0
8. Southern Utah 0.0100.0
9. Dixie St. 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 19 Utah Valley 19.6% 65 75 80.4% San Francisco
Mar. 21 Grand Canyon 11.4% 68 84 88.6% Maryland