Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

West Coast

Updated with games through Monday, March 17

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

West Coast Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th
1. Saint Mary's (22) 17 - 1 27 - 4 17.0 - 1.0 27.0 - 4.0 100.0
2. Gonzaga (10) 14 - 4 24 - 8 14.0 - 4.0 24.0 - 8.0 100.0
3. San Francisco (66) 13 - 5 23 - 9 13.0 - 5.0 23.0 - 9.0 100.0
4. Santa Clara (55) 12 - 6 20 - 12 12.0 - 6.0 20.0 - 12.0 100.0
5. Oregon St. (79) 10 - 8 19 - 12 10.0 - 8.0 19.0 - 12.0 100.0
6. Washington St. (103) 8 - 10 20 - 14 8.0 - 10.0 20.0 - 14.0 100.0
7. Loyola Marymount (142) 8 - 10 17 - 15 8.0 - 10.0 17.0 - 15.0 100.0
8. Portland (275) 7 - 11 10 - 20 7.0 - 11.0 10.0 - 20.0 100.0
9. Pepperdine (203) 4 - 14 12 - 22 4.0 - 14.0 12.0 - 22.0 100.0
10. Pacific (272) 4 - 14 7 - 24 4.0 - 14.0 7.0 - 24.0 100.0
11. San Diego (302) 2 - 16 5 - 28 2.0 - 16.0 5.0 - 28.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. Saint Mary's (22) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Gonzaga (10) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. San Francisco (66) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. Santa Clara (55) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Oregon St. (79) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. Washington St. (103) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Loyola Marymount (142) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. Portland (275) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
9. Pepperdine (203) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
10. Pacific (272) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. San Diego (302) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th
1. Saint Mary's 100.0100.0
2. Gonzaga 0.0100.0
3. San Francisco 0.0100.0
4. Santa Clara 0.0100.0
5. Oregon St. 0.0100.0
6. Washington St. 0.0100.0
7. Loyola Marymount 0.0100.0
8. Portland 0.0100.0
9. Pepperdine 0.0100.0
10. Pacific 0.0100.0
11. San Diego 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 18 UC Riverside 9.9% 69 85 90.1% Santa Clara
Mar. 19 Utah Valley 19.6% 65 75 80.4% San Francisco
Mar. 20 Georgia 31.7% 74 80 68.3% Gonzaga
Mar. 21 Saint Mary's 67.5% 72 68 32.5% Vanderbilt