Home Game Probabilities Conferences Preseason Predictions Odds Charts NCAA Tournament

Big East

Updated with games through Monday, March 17

Conference Projections

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.

Big East Current Record Projected Record Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers)
Team Conf. Overall Conf. Overall 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th
1. St. John's (18) 18 - 2 30 - 4 18.0 - 2.0 30.0 - 4.0 100.0
2. Creighton (40) 15 - 5 24 - 10 15.0 - 5.0 24.0 - 10.0 100.0
3. Connecticut (28) 14 - 6 23 - 10 14.0 - 6.0 23.0 - 10.0 100.0
4. Marquette (29) 13 - 7 23 - 10 13.0 - 7.0 23.0 - 10.0 100.0
5. Xavier (47) 13 - 7 21 - 11 13.0 - 7.0 21.0 - 11.0 100.0
6. Villanova (50) 11 - 9 19 - 14 11.0 - 9.0 19.0 - 14.0 100.0
7. Georgetown (89) 8 - 12 17 - 15 8.0 - 12.0 17.0 - 15.0 100.0
8. Butler (72) 6 - 14 14 - 19 6.0 - 14.0 14.0 - 19.0 100.0
9. Providence (91) 6 - 14 12 - 20 6.0 - 14.0 12.0 - 20.0 100.0
10. DePaul (105) 4 - 16 14 - 19 4.0 - 16.0 14.0 - 19.0 100.0
11. Seton Hall (202) 2 - 18 7 - 25 2.0 - 18.0 7.0 - 25.0 100.0
Weekly Changes
1. St. John's (18) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
2. Creighton (40) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
3. Connecticut (28) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
4. Marquette (29) +0.0+0.0+0.0+100.0-100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
5. Xavier (47) +0.0+0.0+0.0-100.0+100.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
6. Villanova (50) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
7. Georgetown (89) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
8. Butler (72) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+100.0-100.0+0.0+0.0
9. Providence (91) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-100.0+100.0+0.0+0.0
10. DePaul (105) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
11. Seton Hall (202) +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0


This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.

Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers)
Team Outright 1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th
1. St. John's 100.0100.0
2. Creighton 0.0100.0
3. Connecticut 0.0100.0
4. Marquette 0.0100.0
5. Xavier 0.0100.0
6. Villanova 0.0100.0
7. Georgetown 0.0100.0
8. Butler 0.0100.0
9. Providence 0.0100.0
10. DePaul 0.0100.0
11. Seton Hall 0.0100.0






This Week's Games

Date Away W Prob, Pred Score Home
Mar. 19 Texas 56.5% 78 76 43.5% Xavier
Mar. 20 Creighton 39.2% 73 76 60.8% Louisville
Mar. 20 Nebraska Omaha 7.2% 66 84 92.8% St. John's
Mar. 21 Marquette 60.5% 79 76 39.5% New Mexico
Mar. 21 Connecticut 59.8% 76 74 40.2% Oklahoma