Big East
Updated with games through Thursday, November 21
Conference Projections
Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining season.
Tiebreaking was done using the
Big Ten tiebreaking procedures.
| Big East |
Current Record |
Projected Record |
Projected Finish (% odds, with tiebreakers) |
|
Team |
Conf. |
Overall |
Conf. |
Overall |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th | 10th | 11th |
| 1. |
Connecticut (7) |
0 - 0 |
4 - 0 |
15.7 - 4.3 |
22.9 - 6.1 |
46.2 | 26.6 | 14.2 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2. |
Marquette (14) |
0 - 0 |
5 - 0 |
14.7 - 5.3 |
24.2 - 6.8 |
28.8 | 28.6 | 18.8 | 11.6 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 3. |
Creighton (21) |
0 - 0 |
4 - 0 |
13.1 - 6.9 |
21.0 - 10.0 |
12.3 | 18.8 | 22.0 | 18.2 | 12.6 | 7.1 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4. |
St. John's (28) |
0 - 0 |
4 - 1 |
12.2 - 7.8 |
21.3 - 9.7 |
7.8 | 13.1 | 19.0 | 20.1 | 15.1 | 10.9 | 6.7 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 5. |
Xavier (51) |
0 - 0 |
5 - 0 |
10.6 - 9.4 |
18.8 - 11.2 |
2.8 | 6.3 | 11.0 | 14.9 | 17.4 | 15.3 | 12.7 | 8.7 | 5.9 | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| 6. |
Providence (67) |
0 - 0 |
5 - 0 |
9.5 - 10.5 |
16.7 - 12.3 |
1.2 | 3.4 | 6.7 | 11.0 | 15.1 | 16.6 | 14.7 | 11.8 | 9.6 | 6.9 | 3.1 |
| 7. |
Butler (78) |
0 - 0 |
3 - 1 |
8.2 - 11.8 |
14.7 - 15.3 |
0.5 | 1.5 | 3.3 | 6.2 | 10.3 | 13.8 | 15.5 | 15.7 | 13.8 | 12.4 | 7.1 |
| 8. |
Seton Hall (88) |
0 - 0 |
3 - 2 |
7.3 - 12.7 |
13.5 - 16.5 |
0.2 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.4 | 13.8 | 16.4 | 17.1 | 16.1 | 12.3 |
| 9. |
Villanova (96) |
0 - 0 |
3 - 3 |
7.1 - 12.9 |
12.3 - 17.7 |
0.1 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 6.2 | 9.7 | 13.0 | 15.5 | 18.4 | 17.3 | 14.3 |
| 10. |
DePaul (100) |
0 - 0 |
5 - 0 |
6.7 - 13.3 |
15.4 - 15.6 |
0.1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 8.8 | 11.9 | 15.0 | 17.8 | 19.6 | 17.5 |
| 11. |
Georgetown (143) |
0 - 0 |
3 - 1 |
4.9 - 15.1 |
12.7 - 18.3 |
| 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3.2 | 5.1 | 9.2 | 13.7 | 22.6 | 43.4 |
This table gives the probability of earning at least a share of a given place.
So there are no tiebreakers and there can be multiple first place teams, for example.
|
Projected Finish (% odds, no tiebreakers) |
|
Team |
Outright |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th | 10th | 11th |
| 1. |
Connecticut |
40.2 | 53.3 | 24.7 | 11.7 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | | 0.0 |
| 2. |
Marquette |
23.2 | 34.5 | 28.8 | 17.4 | 10.1 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
| 3. |
Creighton |
9.4 | 15.5 | 20.9 | 22.4 | 17.3 | 10.9 | 6.2 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4. |
St. John's |
5.8 | 10.2 | 15.5 | 19.7 | 19.9 | 14.4 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 5. |
Xavier |
2.0 | 3.9 | 7.7 | 12.3 | 16.3 | 18.1 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 7.3 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| 6. |
Providence |
0.8 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 8.1 | 12.5 | 16.4 | 16.6 | 13.8 | 11.0 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 2.1 |
| 7. |
Butler |
0.3 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 4.3 | 7.6 | 11.6 | 14.9 | 15.9 | 14.7 | 12.8 | 10.2 | 5.3 |
| 8. |
Seton Hall |
0.1 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 8.4 | 11.3 | 15.3 | 16.2 | 16.4 | 13.9 | 9.5 |
| 9. |
Villanova |
0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 4.1 | 7.3 | 11.2 | 14.3 | 15.9 | 17.2 | 15.6 | 11.0 |
| 10. |
DePaul |
0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 6.0 | 9.9 | 13.2 | 15.8 | 17.6 | 17.4 | 14.0 |
| 11. |
Georgetown |
0.0 | | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 6.4 | 10.4 | 15.5 | 22.9 | 37.2 |
